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We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, the asymptotic behaviour of the distribution tail of the stationary waiting time $W$ in the $GI/GI/2$ FCFS queue is studied. Under subexponential-type assumptions on the service time distribution, bounds and sharp asymptotics…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

With motivation from K. D\c{e}bicki and P. Kisowski (2007), in this paper we derive the exact tail asymptotics of $\alpha(t)$-locally stationary Gaussian processes with non-constant variance functions. We show that some certain variance…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-23 Long Bai

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

The so-called partition function is a sample moment statistic based on blocks of data and it is often used in the context of multifractal processes. It will be shown that its behaviour is strongly influenced by the tail of the distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-02 Danijel Grahovac , Mofei Jia , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Emanuele Taufer

For the problem of estimating lower tail and upper tail copulas, we propose two bootstrap procedures for approximating the distribution of the corresponding empirical tail copulas. The first method uses a multiplier bootstrap of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette

This paper is concerned with the asymptotic analysis of sojourn times of random fields with continuous sample paths. Under a very general framework we show that there is an interesting relationship between tail asymptotics of sojourn times…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-28 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu , Zbigniew Michna

When an explicit expression for a probability distribution function $F(x)$ can not be found, asymptotic properties of the tail probability function $\bar{F}(x)=1-F(x)$ are very valuable, since they provide approximations or bounds for…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We give two algorithms that allow to get arbitrary precision asymptotics for the harmonic potential of a random walk.

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Gady Kozma , Ehud Schreiber

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the sum of the coordinates of a simple random walk on the K-dimensional hypercube, and prove a double asymptotic of this process, as both the time parameter n and the space parameter K tend to infinity. Depending on the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-23 Fabien Montégut

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

We study the two-point functions of a general class of random-length random walks on finite boxes in $\ZZ^d$ with $d\ge3$, and provide precise asymptotics for their behaviour. We show that the finite-box two-point function is asymptotic to…

数学物理 · 物理学 2023-10-11 Youjin Deng , Timothy M. Garoni , Jens Grimm , Zongzheng Zhou

We study the tail behavior of the distribution of the sum of asymptotically independent risks whose marginal distributions belong to the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. We impose conditions on the distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick

For a centered $d$-dimensional Gaussian random vector $\xi =(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_d)$ and a homogeneous function $h:R^d\to R$ we derive asymptotic expansions for the tail of the Gaussian chaos $h(\xi)$ given the function $h$ is sufficiently…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-18 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dmitry Korshunov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn