相关论文: Universal Fluctuations of the FTSE100
We show an analogy at high curvature between a $f(R) = R + aR^{n - 1} + bR^2$ theory and the $\alpha$-Attractors. We calculate the expressions of the parameters $a$, $b$ and $n$ as functions of $\alpha$ and the predictions of the model…
Let G be a finite group. Let pi be a permutation from S{n}. We study the distribution of probabilities of equality a{1} a{2} ...a{n-1}a{n}=a{pi{1}}^{epsilon{1}} a{pi_{2}}^{epsilon{2}}...a{pi{n-1}}^{epsilon_{n-1}} a_{pi_{n}}^{epsilon{n}},…
In this article we refine well-known results concerning the fluctuations of one-dimensional random walks. More precisely, if $(S_n)_{n \geq 0}$ is a random walk starting from 0 and $r\geq 0$, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior as…
We impose the uniform probability measure on the set of all discrete Gelfand-Tsetlin patterns of depth $n$ with the particles on row $n$ in deterministic positions. These systems equivalently describe a broad class of random tilings models,…
The formulaic alphas are mathematical formulas that transform raw stock data into indicated signals. In the industry, a collection of formulaic alphas is combined to enhance modeling accuracy. Existing alpha mining only employs the neural…
We address the problem of recognizing alpha-stable Levy distribution with Levy index close to 2 from experimental data. We are interested in the case when the sample size of available data is not large, thus the power law asymptotics of the…
We study distributions $F$ on $[0,\infty)$ such that for some $T\le\infty$, $F^{*2}(x,x+T]\sim 2 F(x,x+T]$. The case $T=\infty$ corresponds to $F$ being subexponential, and our analysis shows that the properties for $T<\infty$ are, in fact,…
Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) is the most popular fractal analytical technique used to evaluate the strength of long-range correlations in empirical time series in terms of the Hurst exponent, $H$. Specifically, DFA quantifies the…
We introduce a non-parametric method to recover physical probability distributions of asset returns based on their European option prices and some other sparse parametric information. Thus the main problem is similar to the one considered…
The financial market is nonpredictable, as according to the Bachelier, the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero. Nevertheless, we observe in the price fluctuations the two distinct scales, short and long time. Behaviour of a…
In the present work, we provide the general expression of the normalized centered moments of the Fr\'echet extreme-value distribution. In order to try to represent a set of data corresponding to rare events by a Fr\'echet distribution, it…
There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…
We give an explicit algorithm and source code for extracting equity risk factors from dead (a.k.a. "flatlined" or "hockey-stick") alphas and using them to improve performance characteristics of good (tradable) alphas. In a nutshell, we use…
Financial time series typically exhibit strong fluctuations that cannot be described by a Gaussian distribution. In recent empirical studies of stock market indices it was examined whether the distribution P(r) of returns r(tau) after some…
We analyze the energy density fluctuations contributed by scalar fields $\Phi$ with vanishing expectation values, $\langle\Phi\rangle=0$, which are present in addition to the inflaton field. For simplicity we take $\Phi$ to be…
The major goal of the present paper is to find out the manifestation of the boundedness of fluctuations. Two different subjects are considered: (i) an ergodic Markovian process associated with a new type of large scaled fluctuations at…
The equation of state with quantum statistics corrections is used for particle number fluctuations $\omega$ of isotopically symmetric nuclear matter with interparticle van der Waals and Skyrme local density interactions. The fluctuations,…
This paper focuses on testing for the presence of alpha in time-varying factor pricing models, specifically when the number of securities N is larger than the time dimension of the return series T. We introduce a maximum-type test that…
The paper assesses stationary probability distributions in out of equilibrium systems. In the phenomenology proposed, no free energy can be well defined. Fluctuations of Landau free energy couplings arise when the intrinsic chemical…
We analyze the problem of the analytical characterization of the probability distribution of financial returns in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model with stochastic volatility. In this model the prices are driven by a Geometric…