概率论
Standard risk metrics used in model validation, such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance, fail to converge at practical rates when applied to high-frequency financial data characterized by heavy tails (infinite skewness). This creates a…
Classical anti-concentration results focus on the random sum $S := \sum _{i=1}^n \xi_i v_i$, where $\xi_i$ are independent random variables and $v_i$ are real numbers. In this paper, we prove new concentration results concerning the random…
Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…
We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…
We investigate the expected star discrepancy under a newly designed class of convex equivolume partition models. The main contributions are two-fold. First, we establish a strong partition principle for the star discrepancy, showing that…
We construct a Brownian motion on complex partial flag manifolds with blocks of equal size as a matrix-valued diffusion from a Brownian motion on the unitary group. This construction leads to an explicit expression for the characteristic…
It is well-known that, as $n\to\infty$, the zero distribution of the $n$-th Hermite polynomial converges to the semicircular law (the free normal distribution), while the zero distribution of the associated Laguerre polynomials converges to…
Explicit calculations in dimension one show for Schur stable autoregressive processes with standard Gaussian noise that the ergodic convergence in the Wasserstein-$2$ distance is essentially given by the sum of the mean, which decays…
We consider a generalized model of elephant random walks wherein the walker, during the $(n+1)$-st time-stamp, draws from the past (i.e. the set $\{1,2,\ldots,n\}$) a sample of $k$ time-stamps, either with replacement or without, where $k$…
We construct a one-parameter family of infinite line ensembles on $[0, \infty)$ that are natural half-space analogues of the Airy line ensemble. Away from the origin these ensembles are locally described by avoiding Brownian bridges, and…
We propose a new stochastic epidemiological model defined in a continuous space of arbitrary dimension, based on SIS dynamics implemented in a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process. The model can be described by as little as three…
The class of generalized gamma convolutions (GGC) is closed with respect to (wrt) change of scales, weak limits and addition and multiplication of independent random variables. Our main result adds the new property that GGC is also closed…
The classical Mazur-Ulam theorem establishes that every surjective isometry between normed real vector spaces is an affine transformation. In various applied mathematical settings, however, one encounters maps that preserve distances not…
In this note we consider $2$-dimensional lattice random walks killed at leaving a wedge with opening $\alpha\in(0,\pi]$. Assuming that the walk cannot jump over the boundary of the wedge we prove that there exists a harmonic polynomial if…
We prove a refined version of the Aldous and Brown's exponential approximation of stationary hitting times. These are valid for all reversible Markov chains. We then specialise our estimates for vertex-transitive graphs, where we obtain…
The Feller diffusion is studied as the limit of a coalescent point process in which the density of the node height distribution is skewed towards zero. Using a unified approach, a number of recent results pertaining to scaling limits of…
Stochastic dominance has been studied extensively, particularly in the finance and economics literature. In this paper, we obtain two results. First, necessary conditions for higher-order inverse stochastic dominance are developed. These…
We show that Activated Random Walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ is explosive above criticality. That is, activating a single particle in a supercritical state of sleeping particles triggers an infinite avalanche of activity with positive probability.…
We establish bounds on the mixing times of conjugacy-invariant random walks on finite nilpotent groups in terms of the mixing times of their projections onto the abelianization. This comparison framework shows that, in several natural cases…
We study the distribution of the cokernels of random row-sparse integral matrices $A_n$ according to the determinantal measure from a structured matrix $B_n$ with a parameter $k_n \ge 3$. Under a mild assumption on the growth rate of $k_n$,…