概率论

Coupled Wright-Fisher diffusions have been recently introduced to model the temporal evolution of finitely-many allele frequencies at several loci. These are vectors of multidimensional diffusions whose dynamics are weakly coupled among…

We define a family of continuous-time branching particle systems on the non-negative real line, called branching subordinators, where particles move as independent subordinators. Each particle can also split (at possibly infinite rate) into…

We present a method for upper and lower bounding the right and the left tail probabilities of continuous random variables (RVs). For the right tail probability of RV $X$ with probability density function $f (x)$, this method requires first…

We study the long-time behavior of an additive functional that takes into account the jumps of a symmetric Markov process. This process is assumed to be observed through a biased observation scheme that includes the survival to events of…

Consider the random variable $\mathrm{Tr}( f_1(W)A_1\dots f_k(W)A_k)$ where $W$ is an $N\times N$ Hermitian Wigner matrix, $k\in\mathbb{N}$, and choose (possibly $N$-dependent) regular functions $f_1,\dots, f_k$ as well as bounded…

We provide a dynamical study of a model of multiplicative perturbation of a unitary matrix introduced by Fyodorov. In particular, we identify a flow of deterministic domains that bound the spectrum with high probability, separating the…

A right continuous Markov chain is introduced in the noise terms of the three-dimensional stochastic Navier-Stokes equation, and we call such stochastic system as stochastic Navier-Stokes equation with Markov switching. In the present…

Limit theorems of strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem types are obtained for the compositions of independent identically distributed random unitary channels.

Given a probability space $(S,\Delta, \mathbb{P})$ and a separable metric space $(U,d)$, the $Ky~Fan$ metric $\rho(X,Y)$ on the space $\mathfrak{X}^0$ of equivalence classes of random variables (w.r.t. almost sure equality) formed from the…

Rare events in molecular dynamics are often related to noise-induced transitions between different macroscopic states (e.g., in protein folding). A common feature of these rare transitions is that they happen on timescales that are on…

We study a ruin problem for an annuity model where a fixed fraction of capital is invested in a risky asset. Under weak assumptions on jumps, the ruin probability solves a second-order integro-differential equation and decays as a power…

Given natural parameters s and r, where $2\leq s\leq r$, we consider the distribution of a random variable $\xi=\sum\limits_{k=1}^{\infty}s^{-k}\xi_k\equiv\Delta^{r_s}_{\xi_1\xi_2...\xi_k...},$ where $(\xi_k)$ is a sequence of independent…

Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $\mathbb C$, and let $P_n$ be the random polynomial whose zeros are sampled independently from $\mu$. We study the asymptotic distribution of zeros of high-order derivatives of $P_n$. We show that, for…

We consider a system of $N$ Hawkes processes and observe the actions of a subpopulation of size $K \le N$ up to time $t$, where $K$ is large. The influence relationships between each pair of individuals are modeled by i.i.d.Bernoulli($p$)…

We study a problem with three equivalent formulations: describing Gibbs measures for five-vertex model in quadrant; classifying coherent systems on a p-deformation of the Gelfand-Tsetlin graph related to Grothendieck polynomials; finding…

Suppose an urn contains initially any number of balls of two colours. One ball is drawn randomly and then put back with $\alpha$ balls of the same colour and $\beta$ balls of the opposite colour. Both cases, $\beta=0$ and $\beta>0$ are well…

We consider mean-field vector spin glasses with possibly non-convex interactions. Up to a small perturbation of the parameters defining the model, the asymptotic behavior of the Gibbs measure is described in terms of a critical point of an…

In this work we extend the quenched local limit theorem obtained by the authors in [BBDS23]. More precisely, we consider a directed random walk on the backbone of the supercritical oriented percolation cluster in dimensions $d+1$ with…

In this work we extend the framework of monotone dynamical systems to a broad and important class of stochastic equations, namely cooperative McKean-Vlasov SDEs with multiplicative noise. Under a locally dissipative assumption, our main…

We study the first passage times of discrete-time branching random walks in ${\mathbb R}^d$ where $d\geq 1$. Here, the genealogy of the particles follows a supercritical Galton-Watson process. We provide asymptotics of the first passage…