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We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

We consider rough paths with jumps. In particular, the analogue of Lyons' extension theorem and rough integration are established in a jump setting, offering a pathwise view on stochastic integration against cadlag processes. A class of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Peter Friz , Atul Shekhar

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper addresses heavy-tailed large deviation estimates for the distribution tail of functionals of a class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy process. Our contribution is to show that these estimates remain valid in a near-critical regime.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-03 Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 David Maher

We consider the optimal dividend problem for the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting. The objective is to find a strategy which maximizes the expected total discounted dividends until the time of ruin. We give…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-04 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

Motivated by a risk process with positive and negative premium rates, we consider a real-valued Markov additive process with finitely many background states. This additive process linearly increases or decreases while the background state…

概率论 · 数学 2008-08-21 Masakiyo Miyazawa

For the sum process $X=X^1+X^2$ of a bivariate L\'evy process $(X^1,X^2)$ with possibly dependent components, we derive a quintuple law describing the first upwards passage event of $X$ over a fixed barrier, caused by a jump, by the joint…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-11 Irmingard Eder , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…

概率论 · 数学 2014-11-25 Waly Ngom

Upper estimates of densities of convolution semigroups of probability measures are given under explicit assumptions on the corresponding L\'evy measure and the L\'evy--Khinchin exponent.

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-30 Pawel Sztonyk

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…