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We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

概率论 · 数学 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

In this paper, we consider a homogeneous Markov process \xi(t;\omega) on an ultrametric space Q_p, with distribution density f(x,t), x in Q_p, t in R_+, satisfying the ultrametric diffusion equation df(x,t)/dt =-Df(x,t). We construct and…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 V. A. Avetisov , A. Kh. Bikulov , A. P. Zubarev

Persistence, defined as the probability that a fluctuating signal has not reached a threshold up to a given observation time, plays a crucial role in the theory of random processes. It quantifies the kinetics of processes as varied as phase…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-10-12 N. Levernier , T. V. Mendes , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

Finding the first time a fluctuating quantity reaches a given boundary is a deceptively simple-looking problem of vast practical importance in physics, biology, chemistry, neuroscience, economics and industry. Problems in which the bound to…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-06-05 Thibaud Taillefumier , Marcelo O. Magnasco

In one-dimensional systems, the dynamics of a Brownian particle are governed by the force derived from a potential as well as by diffusion properties. In this work, we obtain the first-passage-time statistics of a Brownian particle driven…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-11-25 Eugenio Urdapilleta

We uncover a duality between relaxation and first passage processes in ergodic reversible Markovian dynamics in both discrete and continuous state-space. The duality exists in the form of a spectral interlacing -- the respective time scales…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-03-05 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

The presence of temporal correlations in random movement trajectories is a widespread phenomenon across biological, chemical and physical systems. The ubiquity of persistent and anti-persistent motion in many natural and synthetic systems…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-07-03 Daniel Marris , Luca Giuggioli

We investigate theoretically and experimentally the first passage-time properties of a spherical Brownian particle that is harmonically trapped at thermal equilibrium in a fluid at constant temperature. By using the overdamped version of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Brandon R. Ferrer , Juan Ruben Gomez-Solano

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

In this paper we derive the density $\varphi$ of the first time $T$ that a continuous martingale $M$ with non-random quadratic variation $<M>_\cdot:=\int_0^\cdot h^2(u)du$ hits a moving boundary $f$ which is twice continuously…

概率论 · 数学 2009-05-14 Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle

A general theory is derived for the moments of the first passage time of a one-dimensional Markov process in presence of a weak time-dependent forcing. The linear corrections to the moments can be expressed by quadratures of the potential…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Benjamin Lindner

This paper analyzes a method to approximate the first passage time probability density function which turns to be particularly useful if only sample data are available. The method relies on a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-14 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Tommaso Martini

The study of first passage times for diffusing particles reaching target states is foundational in various practical applications, including diffusion-controlled reactions. In this work, we present a bi-scaling theory for the probability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Evaluating the completion time of a random algorithm or a running stochastic process is a valuable tip not only from a purely theoretical, but also pragmatic point of view. In the formal sense, this kind of a task is specified in terms of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-11-24 Przemyslaw Chelminiak

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-07-06 Tomasz Srokowski

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The Inverse First Passage time problem seeks to determine the boundary corresponding to a given stochastic process and a fixed first passage time distribution. Here, we determine the numerical solution of this problem in the case of a two…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-17 Alessia Civallero , Cristina Zucca