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This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

In this paper, we study a class of stochastic processes, called evolving network Markov chains, in evolving networks. Our approach is to transform the degree distribution problem of an evolving network to a corresponding problem of evolving…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-04-23 Zhenting Hou , Xiangxing Kong , Dinghua Shi , Guanrong Chen , Qinggui Zhao

The decreasing Markov chain on \{1,2,3, \ldots\} with transition probabilities $p(j,j-i) \propto 1/i$ arises as a key component of the analysis of the beta-splitting random tree model. We give a direct and almost self-contained…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-09 David J. Aldous , Svante Janson , Xiaodan Li

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-07-17 D. Sornette

It has been well known for some time that for strictly stationary Markov chains that are ``reversible'', that special symmetry provides special extra features in the mathematical theory. This paper here is primarily a purely expository…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-04 Richard C. Bradley

The goal of this expository paper is to describe conditions which guarantee a central limit theorem for functionals of general state space Markov chains. This is done with a view towards Markov chain Monte Carlo settings and hence the focus…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Galin L. Jones

In this paper, first-passage probability of Markov chains is used to get a strict proof of the existence of degree distribution of the LCD model presented by Bollobas (Random Structures and Algorithms 18(2001)). Also, a precise expression…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-04 Zhenting Hou , Li Tan , Dinghua Shi

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

In a quantum Markov chain, the temporal succession of states is modeled by the repeated action of a "bistochastic quantum operation" on the density matrix of a quantum system. Based on this conceptual framework, we derive some new results…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-02-05 Chaobin Liu , Nelson Petulante

Recursive stochastic algorithms have gained significant attention in the recent past due to data driven applications. Examples include stochastic gradient descent for solving large-scale optimization problems and empirical dynamic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Abhishek Gupta , Hao Chen , Jianzong Pi , Gaurav Tendolkar

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Dealing with finite Markov chains in discrete time, the focus often lies on convergence behavior and one tries to make different copies of the chain meet as fast as possible and then stick together. There is, however, a very peculiar kind…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-15 Timo Hirscher , Anders Martinsson

We study the joint occurrence of large values of a Markov random field or undirected graphical model associated to a block graph. On such graphs, containing trees as special cases, we aim to generalize recent results for extremes of Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-09 Stefka Asenova , Johan Segers

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of M\"obius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of M\"obius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-04 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

We study inhomogeneous continuous-time weakly ergodic Markov chains with a finite state space. We introduce the notion of a Markov chain with the regular structure of an infinitesimal matrix and study the sharp upper bounds on the rate of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-17 A. I. Zeifman , Y. A. Satin , K. M. Kiseleva

Markov Chains with variable length are useful stochastic models for data compression that avoid the curse of dimensionality faced by that full Markov Chains. In this paper we introduce a Variable Length Markov Chain whose transition…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Seonjin Kim , Nancy Lopes Garcia

In this paper we study Markov chains associated with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We consider conditions under which the sequence of the successive densities of such a chain converges to the target density according to the total…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Dimiter Tsvetkov , Lyubomir Hristov , Ralitsa Angelova-Slavova