English

Branching in a Markovian Environment

Probability 2021-06-22 v1

Abstract

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random environment, and one individual is replaced by a random number of offspring whose distribution depends on the new environment. We give a first moment condition that determines whether this process survives forever with positive probability. On the event of survival we prove a law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for the population size. We also define a matrix-valued generating function for which the extinction matrix (whose entries are the probability of extinction in state j given that the initial state is i) is a fixed point, and we prove that iterates of the generating function starting with the zero matrix converge to the extinction matrix.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2106.11249,
  title  = {Branching in a Markovian Environment},
  author = {Lila Greco and Lionel Levine},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.11249},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

26 pages, 1 figure

R2 v1 2026-06-24T03:26:07.078Z