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We consider an epidemiological model that includes waning and boosting of immunity. Assuming that repeated exposure to the pathogen fully restores immunity, we derive an SIRS-type model with discrete and distributed delays. First we prove…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-06-14 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Monika Polner , Gergely Röst

We consider the SIRWJS epidemiological model that includes the waning and boosting of immunity via secondary infections. We carry out combined analytical and numerical investigations of the dynamics. The formulae describing the existence…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-16 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

An epidemic model with distributed time delay is derived to describe the dynamics of infectious diseases with varying immunity. It is shown that solutions are always positive, and the model has at most two steady states: disease-free and…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-09-21 K. B. Blyuss , Y. N. Kyrychko

When the body gets infected by a pathogen the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery the host might become susceptible again. Exposure to the pathogen in the environment…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-11-13 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Gergely Röst

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

We study the dynamics of a SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate, vertical transmission vaccination for the newborns and the capacity of treatment, that takes into account the limitedness of the medical resources and the…

In this paper, we investigate an SVIRS epidemic model that incorporates both temporary immunity and an age-structured recovery process. By reformulating the system as a non-densely defined abstract Cauchy problem, we establish the existence…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-12-03 Songbo Hou , Xinxin Tian

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

We performed a thorough sensitivity analysis of the herd immunity threshold for discrete-time SIR compartmental models with a static network structure. We find unexpectedly that these models violate classical intuition which holds that the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-02-27 Sinan A. Ozbay , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximilian M. Nguyen

Incidence of whooping cough, an infection caused by Bordetella pertussis and Bordetella parapertussis, has been on the rise since the 1980s in many countries. Immunological interactions, such as immune boosting and cross-immunity between…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-08-30 Tiffany Leung , Barry D. Hughes , Federico Frascoli , James M. McCaw

The main purpose of this paper is to study the local dynamics and bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemiological model. The existence and stability of disease-free and endemic fixed points are investigated along with a fairly complete…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-05 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Yishao Zhou

Decline of immunity is a phenomenon characterized by immunocompromised host and plays a crucial role in the epidemiology of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) such as COVID-19. In this paper, we propose an age-structured model with…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-07-23 Shuanglin Jing , Ling Xue , Jichen Yang

We propose a model of the immunity to a cyclical epidemic disease taking account not only of seasonal boosts during the infectious season, but also of residual immunity remaining from one season to the next. The focus is on the exponential…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-22 Siyu Chen , David Sankoff

Time varying susceptibility of host at individual level due to waning and boosting immunity is known to induce rich long-term behavior of disease transmission dynamics. Meanwhile, the impact of the time varying heterogeneity of host…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-08-28 Yukihiko Nakata , Ryosuke Omori

The ubiquity of oscillations in epidemics presents a long standing challenge for the formulation of epidemic models. Whether they are external and seasonally driven, or arise from the intrinsic dynamics is an open problem. It is known that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-09-06 S. Goncalves , G. Abramson , M. F. C. Gomes

We propose a compartmental model for a disease with temporary immunity and secondary infections. From our assumptions on the parameters involved in the model, the system naturally evolves in three time scales. We characterize the equilibria…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-04-10 Panagiotis Kaklamanos , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile

We examine the properties of a recently proposed model for antigenic variation in malaria which incorporates multiple epitopes and both long-lasting and transient immune responses. We show that in the case of a vanishing decay rate for the…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-09-21 K. B. Blyuss , S. Gupta

When the body gets infected by a pathogen or receives a vaccine dose, the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery/vaccination the host might become susceptible again.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-01-15 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Gergely Röst

In this paper, dynamical systems theory and bifurcation theory are applied to investi- gate the rich dynamical behaviours observed in three simple disease models. The 2- and 3-dimensional models we investigate have arisen in previous…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-04-22 Wenjing Zhang , Pei Yu , Lindi M. Wahl
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