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Clinicians need to predict patient outcomes with high accuracy as early as possible after disease inception. In this manuscript, we show that patient-to-patient variability sets a fundamental limit on outcome prediction accuracy for a…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-02-17 Manuel Mai , Kun Wang , Greg Huber , Michael Kirby , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

Within many bacterial colonies, persister cells exist as a subpopulation that is tolerant to antibiotics and other stressors, yet not genetically distinct from the rest of the colony. A recent study has proposed epigenetic inheritance as a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-05-01 Chongming Li , Tyler Meadows , Troy Day

We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

Compartmental epidemic models, grounded in mass-action kinetics, often assume homogeneous mixing. Although this neglects network structure, recent results show that for Poisson random graphs, the classical SIR model, especially the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-28 Akshara Bhat , Abhishek Deshpande , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators allows for formal statistical quantification of the error due to discretisation in the numerical context. Competing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

Delay-Differential Equations (DDEs) are the most common representation for systems with delay. However, the DDE representation is limited. In network models with delay, the delayed channels are low-dimensional and accounting for this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-21 Matthew M. Peet

The basic reproduction number R0 is a concept which originated in population dynamics, mathematical epidemiology, and ecology and is closely related to the mean number of children in branching processes.We offer below three new…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-30 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Matthew Johnston

Discontinuities and delayed terms are encountered in the governing equations of a large class of problems ranging from physics and engineering to medicine and economics. These systems cannot be properly modelled and simulated with standard…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model with infinitely many pathogen variants infecting a homogeneous host population. We show that the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ of the pathogen can be defined in that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-11 Jean-Baptiste Burie , Arnaud Ducrot , Quentin Griette

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng

We study the global dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SEIR infection model with distributed delay and nonlinear incidence rate. The well-posedness of the proposed model is proved. By means of Lyapunov functionals, we show that the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-04-21 Abdesslem Lamrani Alaoui , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Mouhcine Tilioua , Delfim F. M. Torres

During the last decades, the global prevalence of dengue progressed dramatically. It is a disease that is now endemic in more than one hundred countries of Africa, America, Asia, and the Western Pacific. In this paper, we present a…

This paper presents an enhanced version of the subgroup method for resonance self-shielding treatment, termed the robust subgroup method, which integrates Robust Estimation (RE) with a Differential Evolution (DE) algorithm. The RE approach…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-11-07 Beichen Zheng , Ying Chen , Lili Wen , Xiaofei Wu

We study an SEIQR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Recovered) model for an infectious disease, with time delays for latency and an asymptomatic phase. For fast pandemics where nobody has prior immunity and everyone has immunity…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-09 C. P. Vyasarayani , Anindya Chatterjee

In recent years, neural networks have achieved remarkable progress in various fields and have also drawn much attention in applying them on scientific problems. A line of methods involving neural networks for solving partial differential…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-20 Xianliang Xu , Ye Li , Zhongyi Huang

Neural field models with transmission delay may be cast as abstract delay differential equations (DDE). The theory of dual semigroups (also called sun-star calculus) provides a natural framework for the analysis of a broad class of delay…

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer