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Judea Pearl's insight that, when errors are assumed independent, the Pure (aka Natural) Direct Effect (PDE) is non-parametrically identified via the Mediation Formula was `path-breaking' in more than one sense! In the same paper Pearl…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 James M. Robins , Thomas S. Richardson , Ilya Shpitser

The procedure for establishing mediation, i.e., determining that an independent variable X affects a dependent variable Y through some mediator M, has been under debate. The classic causal steps require that a "total effect" be significant,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-26 Tingxuan Han , Luxi Zhang , Xinshu Zhao , Ke Deng

It is often of interest in the health and social sciences to investigate the joint mediation effects of multiple post-exposure mediating variables. Identification of such joint mediation effects generally require no unmeasured confounding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Deshanee S. Wickramarachchi , Laura Huey Mien Lim , Baoluo Sun

Experiments often include multiple treatments, with the primary goal to compare the causal effects of those treatments. This study focuses on comparing the causal anatomies of multiple treatments through the use of causal mediation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-03 Kirk Bansak

Mediation analysis examines the pathways through which mediators transmit the effect of an exposure to an outcome. In high-dimensional settings, the joint significance test is commonly applied using variable screening followed by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Samuel Osarfo , Sangyoon Yi , Weijia Fu , Seungjun Ahn

Environmental health studies are increasingly measuring endogenous omics data ($\boldsymbol{M}$) to study intermediary biological pathways by which an exogenous exposure ($\boldsymbol{A}$) affects a health outcome ($\boldsymbol{Y}$), given…

Statistical mechanics has proven to be able to capture the fundamental rules underlying phenomena of social aggregation and opinion dynamics, well studied in disciplines like sociology and psychology. This approach is based on the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-13 Andrea Guazzini , Daniele Vilone , Franco Bagnoli

We consider the problem of indirect comparison, where a treatment arm of interest is absent by design in one randomized controlled trial but available in the other. The former is the target trial, and the latter is the source trial. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Zehao Su , Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Henrik Ravn , Frank Eriksson

Causal mediation analysis is a useful tool for epidemiological research, but it has been criticized for relying on a "cross-world" independence assumption that is empirically difficult to verify and problematic to justify based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Ryan M. Andrews , Vanessa Didelez

We propose a novel methodology to quantify the effect of stochastic interventions on non-terminal time-to-events that lie on the pathway between an exposure and a terminal time-to-event outcome. Investigating these effects is particularly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Linda Valeri , Cécile Proust-Lima , Weijia Fan , Jarvis T. Chen , Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda

Scholars of social stratification often study exposures that shape life outcomes. But some outcomes (such as wage) only exist for some people (such as those who are employed). We show how a common practice -- dropping cases with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Ian Lundberg , Soonhong Cho

Accurate estimation of treatment effects is essential for decision-making across various scientific fields. This task, however, becomes challenging in areas like social sciences and online marketplaces, where treating one experimental unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Mohsen Bayati , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Sadegh Shirani , Ruoxuan Xiong

Causal mediation analysis is routinely conducted by applied researchers in a variety of disciplines. The goal of such an analysis is to investigate alternative causal mechanisms by examining the roles of intermediate variables that lie in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-05 Kosuke Imai , Luke Keele , Teppei Yamamoto

We describe and contrast two distinct problem areas for statistical causality: studying the likely effects of an intervention ("effects of causes"), and studying whether there is a causal link between the observed exposure and outcome in an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-02 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio

When it comes to clinical survival trials, regulatory restrictions usually require the application of methods that solely utilize baseline covariates and the intention-to-treat principle. Thereby a lot of potentially useful information is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-27 Susanne Strohmaier , Kjetil Røysland , Rune Hoff , Ørnulf Borgan , Terje Pedersen , Odd O. Aalen

Questions concerning mediated causal effects are of great interest in psychology, cognitive science, medicine, social science, public health, and many other disciplines. For instance, about 60% of recent papers published in leading journals…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-05 Ilya Shpitser

In cluster-randomized trials (CRTs), there is emerging interest in exploring the causal mechanism in which a cluster-level treatment affects the outcome through an intermediate outcome. The majority of existing causal mediation methods are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

Not accounting for competing events in survival analysis can lead to biased estimates, as individuals who die from other causes do not have the opportunity to develop the event of interest. Formal definitions and considerations for causal…

We propose a test for the identification of causal effects in mediation and dynamic treatment models that is based on two sets of observed variables, namely covariates to be controlled for and suspected instruments, building on the test by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-21 Martin Huber , Kevin Kloiber , Lukas Laffers

A key objective of decomposition analysis is to identify a factor (the 'mediator') contributing to disparities in an outcome between social groups. In decomposition analysis, a scholarly interest often centers on estimating how much the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-27 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee , Shujie Ma