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Decomposing a total causal effect into natural direct and indirect effects is central to revealing causal mechanisms. Conventional methods achieve the decomposition by specifying an outcome model as a linear function of the treatment, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Guanglei Hong

During the past few years, mediation analysis has gained increasing popularity across various research fields. The primary objective of mediation analysis is to examine the direct impact of exposure on outcome, as well as the indirect…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Xin Li

Given empirical evidence for the dependence of an outcome variable on an exposure variable, we can typically only provide bounds for the "probability of causation" in the case of an individual who has developed the outcome after being…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. P. Dawid , R. Murtas , M. Musio

Proximal causal inference was recently proposed as a framework to identify causal effects from observational data in the presence of hidden confounders for which proxies are available. In this paper, we extend the proximal causal inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 AmirEmad Ghassami , Alan Yang , Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal mediation analysis is increasingly abundant in biology, psychology, and epidemiology studies, etc. In particular, with the advent of the big data era, the issue of high-dimensional mediators is becoming more prevalent. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-10 Minghao Chen , Yingchun Zhou

Mediation analysis is a form of causal inference that investigates indirect effects and causal mechanisms. Confidence intervals for indirect effects play a central role in conducting inference. The problem is non-standard leading to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen

Most of the literature on direct and indirect effects assumes that there are no post-treatment common causes of the mediator and the outcome. In contrast to natural direct and indirect effects, organic direct and indirect effects, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Judith J Lok

Causal mediation analyses investigate the mechanisms through which causes exert their effects, and are therefore central to scientific progress. The literature on the non-parametric definition and identification of mediational effects in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-13 Richard Liu , Nicholas T. Williams , Kara E. Rudolph , Iván Díaz

In experimental and observational data settings, researchers often have limited knowledge of the reasons for missing outcomes. To address this uncertainty, we propose bounds on causal effects for missing outcomes, accommodating the scenario…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Max Rubinstein , Denis Agniel , Larry Han , Marcela Horvitz-Lennon , Sharon-Lise Normand

The same intervention can produce different effects in different sites. Transport mediation estimators can estimate the extent to which such differences can be explained by differences in compositional factors and the mechanisms by which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Kara E. Rudolph , Ivan Diaz

Interpretability provides a toolset for understanding how and why neural networks behave in certain ways. However, there is little unity in the field: most studies employ ad-hoc evaluations and do not share theoretical foundations, making…

Interventional effects for mediation analysis were proposed as a solution to the lack of identifiability of natural (in)direct effects in the presence of a mediator-outcome confounder affected by exposure. We present a theoretical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Iván Díaz , Nima S. Hejazi , Kara E. Rudolph , Mark J. van der Laan

The paper considers mediation analysis with longitudinal data under latent growth curve models within a counterfactual framework. Estimators and their standard errors are derived for natural direct and indirect effects when the mediator,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-11 Adam J. Sullivan , Douglas D. Gunzler , Nathan Morris , Tyler J. VanderWeele

The direct effect of one eventon another can be defined and measured byholding constant all intermediate variables between the two.Indirect effects present conceptual andpractical difficulties (in nonlinear models), because they cannot be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Judea Pearl

Natural direct and indirect effects decompose the effect of a treatment into the part that is mediated by a covariate (the mediator) and the part that is not. Their definitions rely on the concept of outcomes under treatment with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

Mediation analysis has been widely used to investigate how a treatment influences an outcome through intermediate variables, known as mediators. Analyzing a mediation mechanism typically requires assessing multiple model parameters that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Hanying Jiang , Kris Sankaran , Yinqiu He

Empirical researchers are often interested in not only whether a treatment affects an outcome of interest, but also how the treatment effect arises. Causal mediation analysis provides a formal framework to identify causal mechanisms through…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-01 Bora Kim

We demonstrate a comprehensive semiparametric approach to causal mediation analysis, addressing the complexities inherent in settings with longitudinal and continuous treatments, confounders, and mediators. Our methodology utilizes a…

We propose semi- and non-parametric methods to estimate conditional interventional effects in the setting of two discrete mediators whose causal ordering is unknown. Average interventional indirect effects have been shown to decompose an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-19 Max Rubinstein , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Mediation analysis aims to identify and estimate the effect of an exposure on an outcome that is mediated through one or more intermediate variables. In the presence of multiple intermediate variables, two pertinent methodological questions…