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We derive a complete left-tail asymptotic series for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of a supercritical multitype Galton-Watson process in the Schr\"oder case. We show that the series converges everywhere, not only for small…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-09 Anton A. Kutsenko

Inspired by many examples in nature, stochastic resetting of random processes has been studied extensively in the past decade. In particular, various models of stochastic particle motion were considered where upon resetting the particle is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-11-23 Ofir Tal-Friedman , Yael Roichman , Shlomi Reuveni

We consider multitype Markovian branching processes evolving in a Markovian random environment. To determine whether or not the branching process becomes extinct almost surely is akin to computing the maximal Lyapunov exponent of a sequence…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein

Self-activation coupled to a transport mechanism results in traveling waves that describe polymerization reactions, forest fires, tumor growth, and even the spread of epidemics. Diffusion is a simple and commonly used model of particle…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-07-06 Keisuke Ishihara , Ashish B. George , Ryan Cornelius , Kirill S. Korolev

Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

In this work we study drawdowns and drawups of general diffusion processes. The drawdown process is defined as the current drop of the process from its running maximum, while the drawup process is defined as the current increase over its…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-10 Hongzhong Zhang , Olympia Hadjiliadis

Recently, the complete left tail asymptotic for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of the classical Galton-Watson process has been derived. The derivation is based on the properties of a special function (whose inverse Fourier…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Anton A Kutsenko

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

We derive a self-duality relation for a one-dimensional model of branching and annihilating random walkers with an even number of offsprings. With the duality relation and by deriving exact results in some limiting cases involving fast…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 K. Mussawisade , J. E. Santos , G. M. Schütz , ;

In this article, we considers reversible Markov chains of which $L^2$-distances can be expressed in terms of Laplace transforms. The cutoff of Laplace transforms was first discussed by Chen and Saloff-Coste in [8], while we provide here a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-25 Guan-Yu Chen , Jui-Ming Hsu , Yuan-Chung Sheu

We revisit the issue of Lagrangian irreversibility in the context of recent results [Xu, et al., PNAS, 111, 7558 (2014)] on flight-crash events in turbulent flows and show how extreme events in the Eulerian dissipation statistics are…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Jason R. Picardo , Akshay Bhatnagar , Samriddhi Sankar Ray

Consider a critical branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 1$, started with a single particle at the origin, and let $L(x)$ be the total number of particles that ever visit a vertex $x$. We study the tail of $L(x)$ under suitable…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-28 Omer Angel , Tom Hutchcroft , Antal A. Járai

We apply a simple method to provide explicit expressions for different scaling exponents in intermittent fully developed turbulence, that before were only given through a Legendre transform. This includes predictability exponents for…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Francois G Schmitt

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-09-12 Nassim N. Taleb

Here, we study the long-term behaviour of the non-explosion probability for continuous-state branching processes in a L\'evy environment when the branching mechanism is given by the negative of the Laplace exponent of a subordinator. In…

概率论 · 数学 2024-06-19 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

In Rayleigh-Benard convection and Taylor-Couette flow cellular patterns emerge at the onset of instability and persist as large-scale coherent structures in the turbulent regime. Their long-term dynamics has been thoroughly characterised…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-26 Daniel Feldmann , Marc Avila

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani