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相关论文: On a Class of Nonlocal SIR Models

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Motivated by recent epidemic outbreaks, including those of COVID-19, we solve the canonical problem of calculating the dynamics and likelihood of extensive outbreaks in a population within a large class of stochastic epidemic models with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-31 Jason Hindes , Michael Assaf , Ira B. Schwartz

A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model as well as its generalizations are extensively used for the study of the spread of infectious diseases, and for the understanding of the dynamical evolution of epidemics. From SIR type…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-02 Tiberiu Harko , Man Kwong Mak

Calibration of a SIR (Susceptibles-Infected-Recovered) model with official international data for the COVID-19 pandemics provides a good example of the difficulties inherent the solution of inverse problems. Inverse modeling is set up in a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-09 Mauro Giudici , Alessandro Comunian , Romina Gaburro

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this paper, we introduce a novel numerical approach for approximating the SIR model in epidemiology. Our method enhances the existing linearization procedure by incorporating a suitable relaxation term to tackle the transcendental…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-17 Vo Anh Khoa , Pham Minh Quan , Ja'Niyah Allen , Kbenesh W. Blayneh

The main purpose of this paper is to study the local dynamics and bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemiological model. The existence and stability of disease-free and endemic fixed points are investigated along with a fairly complete…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-05 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Yishao Zhou

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

The simplest epidemiologic model composed by mutually exclusive compartments SIR (susceptible-infected-susceptible) is presented to describe a reality. From health concerns to situations related with marketing, informatics or even…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-11-09 Helena Sofia Rodrigues

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

We propose an approach to model spatial heterogeneity in SIR-type models for the spread of epidemics via \emph{nonlocal aggregation terms}. More precisely, we first consider an SIR model with spatial movements driven by nonlocal aggregation…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-04-03 Marco Di Francesco , Fatemeh Ghaderi Zefreh

We consider the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a Euclidean network in one dimension in which nodes at a distance $l$ are connected with probability $P(l) \propto l^{-\delta}$ in addition to nearest neighbors. The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-04 Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

This article is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Neumann boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous and…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li , Liang Zhang

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

This report is based on the work in (1). We first review definitions and notation developped there and provide derivations for the exact mathematical description of an SIS epidemic on a hypergraph. We then generalise the work in (1) to a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-03 Rohan Nuckchady

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

In this work, we use a new approach to study the spread of an infectious disease. Indeed, we study a SIR epidemic model with variable infectivity, where the individuals are distributed over a compact subset $D$ of $\R^d$. We define…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Armand Kanga , Etienne Pardoux