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We consider the problem of controlling an SIR-model epidemic by temporarily reducing the rate of contact within a population. The control takes the form of a multiplicative reduction in the contact rate of infectious individuals. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-29 David I. Ketcheson

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

We propose and study a new mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The main novelty is to consider that the antibody growth depends not only on the virus and on the antibodies concentration but also on the uninfected…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-26 Karam Allali , Sanaa Harroudi , Delfim F. M. Torres

Purpose of Review: Negative controls are a powerful tool to detect and adjust for bias in epidemiological research. This paper introduces negative controls to a broader audience and provides guidance on principled design and causal analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-20 Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We consider a behavioral-feedback SIR epidemic model, in which the infection rate depends in feedback on the fractions of susceptible and infected agents, respectively. The considered model allows one to account for endogenous adaptation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-11 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

Investigations of infectious disease outbreaks often focus on identifying place- and context-dependent factors responsible for emergence and spread, resulting in phenomenological narratives ill-suited to developing generalizable predictive…

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

This paper is about numerical control of HIV propagation. The contribution of the paper is threefold: first, a novel model of HIV propagation is proposed; second, the methods from numerical optimal control are successfully applied to the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Dmitry Gromov , Ingo Bulla , Ethan O. Romero-Severson , Oana Silvia Serea

Although optimal control theory has been used for the theoretical study of anti-cancerous drugs scheduling optimization, with the aim of reducing the primary tumor volume, the effect on metastases is often ignored. Here, we use a previously…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2013-06-21 Sebastien Benzekry , Philip Hahnfeldt

We study an optimal control problem for a stochastic model of tumour growth with drug application. This model consists of three stochastic hyperbolic equations describing the evolution of tumour cells. It also includes two stochastic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-30 Sakine Esmaili , M. R. Eslahchi , Delfim F. M. Torres

Reaction-diffusion systems offer a powerful framework for understanding self-organized patterns in biological systems, yet controlling these patterns remains a significant challenge. As a consequence, we present a rigorous framework of…

Tuberculosis, caused by a bacteria called Mycobacterium tuberculosis, is one of the most serious public health problems worldwide. This work seeks to facilitate and automate the prediction of tuberculosis by the MODS method and using…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-07 Dennis Núñez-Fernández , Lamberto Ballan , Gabriel Jiménez-Avalos , Jorge Coronel , Mirko Zimic

We give the explicit solution of the optimal control problem which consists in minimizing the epidemic peak in the SIR model when the control is an attenuation factor of the infectious rate, subject to a L 1 budget constraint. The optimal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-14 Emilio Molina , Alain Rapaport

This paper deals with optimal control problems for systems affine in the control variable. We consider nonnegativity constraints on the control, and finitely many equality and inequality constraints on the final state. First, we obtain…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-07-02 Maria Soledad Aronna , J. Frederic Bonnans , Andrei V. Dmitruk , Pablo Lotito

The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem with SIR dynamics. The main feature of our study is the presence of state constraints (related to intensive care units ICU capacity) and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-25 Florin Avram , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

``When in a difficult situation, it is sometimes better to give up and start all over again''. While this empirical truth has been regularly observed in a wide range of circumstances, quantifying the effectiveness of such a heuristic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-02-20 Benjamin De Bruyne , Francesco Mori

Infectious diseases are among the most prominent threats to mankind. When preventive health care cannot be provided, a viable means of disease control is the isolation of individuals, who may be infected. To study the impact of isolation,…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-04-10 Stefan Ruschel , Tiago Pereira , Serhiy Yanchuk , Lai-Sang Young

In this paper, we consider an optimal distributed control problem for a reaction-diffusion-based SIR epidemic model with human behavioral effects. We develop a model wherein non-pharmaceutical intervention methods are implemented, but a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-02-11 Marcelo Bongarti , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Tuberculosis (TB) is among the main public health challenges in Burundi. The literature lacks mathematical models for key parameter estimates of TB transmission dynamics in Burundi. In this paper, the supectible-exposed-infected-recovered…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-04-05 Steve Sibomanaa , Kelly Joelle Gatore Sinigirira , Paterne Gahungu , David Niyukuri