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相关论文: Heteroscedasticity test of high-frequency data wit…

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It is generally accepted that the asset price processes contain jumps. In fact, pure jump models have been widely used to model asset prices and/or stochastic volatilities. The question is: is there any statistical evidence from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-06 Bing-Yi Jing , Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu

This paper shows that jumps in financial asset prices are often erroneously identified and are, in fact, rare events accounting for a very small proportion of the total price variation. We apply new econometric techniques to a comprehensive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-12 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Mark Podolskij

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Based on a continuous-time stochastic volatility model with a linear drift, we develop a test for explosive behavior in financial asset prices at a low frequency when prices are sampled at a higher frequency. The test exploits the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-06 H. Peter Boswijk , Jun Yu , Yang Zu

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-24 Sara Kristin Schmidt , Max Wornowizki , Roland Fried , Herold Dehling

We develop further the spot volatility estimator introduced in Hoffmann, Munk and Schmidt-Hieber (2012) from a practical point of view and make it useful for the analysis of high-frequency financial data. In a first part, we adjust the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-09-25 Till Sabel , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Axel Munk

Volatility estimation based on high-frequency data is key to accurately measure and control the risk of financial assets. A L\'{e}vy process with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise is considered one of the simplest, yet…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-12 Qi Wang , José E. Figueroa-López , Todd Kuffner

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

It is difficult to choose detection thresholds for tests of non-stationarity that assume {\em a priori} a noise model if the data is statistically uncharacterized to begin with. This is a potentially serious problem when an automated…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-12-30 Soumya D. Mohanty

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang

In this article we consider the volatility inference in the presence of both market microstructure noise and endogenous time. Estimators of the integrated volatility in such a setting are proposed, and their asymptotic properties are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-03-26 Yingying Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Xinghua Zheng

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-25 Markus Reiß

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

We analyze different data of the variation of the fine structure constant obtained with different methods to check their consistency.We test consistency using the modified Student test and confidence intervals. We split the data sets in…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Susana J. Landau , Claudio Simeone

This paper tackles the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a heteroscedastic signal by model selection, without knowledge on the variations of the noise. A new family of change-point detection procedures is proposed, showing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

In financial markets, greater volatility is usually considered synonym of greater risk and instability. However, large market downturns and upturns are often preceded by long periods where price returns exhibit only small fluctuations. To…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Davide Valenti , Giorgio Fazio , Bernardo Spagnolo