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Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

Various non pharmaceutical interventions have been settled to minimise the burden of the COVID-19 outbreak. We build a framework to analyse the dynamics of non pharmaceutical interventions, to distinguish between mitigations measures…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-23 Laurent Evain , Jean-Jacques Loeb

Without vaccines and treatments, societies must rely on non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies to control the spread of emerging diseases such as COVID-19. Though complete lockdown is epidemiologically effective, because it eliminates…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-08 Jason Hindes , Simone Bianco , Ira B. Schwartz

We devise a theoretical model for the optimal dynamical control of an infectious disease whose diffusion is described by the SVIR compartmental model. The control is realized through implementing social rules to reduce the disease's spread,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-08-10 Alessandro Ramponi , Maria Elisabetta Tessitore

In this study, we present an epidemic-controlled SIRD model with two types of control strategies: mask wear and screening. The aim of this study is to minimize the number of deceased keeping a minimal cost of mask advertising and screening.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-06 Amira Bouhali , Walid Ben Aribi , Slimane Ben Miled , Amira Kebir

We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

The design of coherent and efficient policies to address infectious diseases and their consequences requires to model not only epidemics dynamics, but also individual behaviors, as the latter has a strong influence on the former. In our…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-16 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

In this paper, we consider an optimal distributed control problem for a reaction-diffusion-based SIR epidemic model with human behavioral effects. We develop a model wherein non-pharmaceutical intervention methods are implemented, but a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-02-11 Marcelo Bongarti , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

Optimal control theory in epidemiology has been used to establish the most effective intervention strategies for managing and mitigating the spread of infectious diseases while considering constraints and costs. Using Pontryagin's Maximum…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-08 Sandra Montes-Olivas , Adam J. Kucharski , Michael B. Gravenor , Simon D. W. Frost

The SEIR model is a compartmental model used to simulate the dynamics of an epidemic. In this chapter, we introduce two control functions in the compartmental SEIR model representing vaccination and plasma transfusion. Optimal control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-23 Juliana Couras , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Cost-effectiveness analysis is a mode of determining both the cost and economic health outcomes of one or more control interventions. In this work, we have formulated a non-autonomous nonlinear deterministic model to study the control of…

We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while minimizing its associated social costs. The main feature of our model lies in the fact that the disease's transmission rate is a diffusive stochastic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-04 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari

We study an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous SEIRS model with incidence given by a general function of the infective, the susceptible and the total population, and with vaccination and treatment as control variables. We prove…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-13 Joaquim P. Mateus , Paulo Rebelo , Silvério Rosa , César M. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

As the COVID19 spreads across the world, prevention measures are becoming the essential weapons to combat the pandemic in the period of crisis. The lockdown measure is the most controversial one as it imposes an overwhelming impact on our…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-12 Yuting Fu , Haitao Xiang , Hanqing Jin , Ning Wang

We analyze the optimal control of disease prevention and treatment in a basic SIS model. We develop a simple macroeconomic setup in which the social planner determines how to optimally intervene, through income taxation, in order to…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-09 Davide La Torre , Tufail Malik , Simone Marsiglio

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das

In this paper we introduce an approach to the management of infectious disease diffusion through the formulation of a controlled compartmental SVIR (Susceptible-Vaccinated-Infected-Recovered) model. We consider a cost functional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-28 Alessandro Ramponiand M. Elisabetta Tessitore

We adapt a SEIRD differential model with asymptomatic population and Covid deaths, which we call SEAIRD, to simulate the evolution of COVID-19, and add a control function affecting both the diffusion of the virus and GDP, featuring all…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-02 Andrea Aspri , Elena Beretta , Alberto Gandolfi , Etienne Wasmer

We formulate an optimal control problem to determine the lockdown policy to curb an epidemic where other control measures are not available yet. We present a unified framework to model the epidemic and economy that allows us to study the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-20 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway