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For a $\psi$-mixing process $\xi_0,\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ we consider the number $\mathcal{N}_N$ of multiple returns $\{\xi_{q_{i,N}(n)}\in\Gamma_N,\, i=1,...,\ell\}$ to a set $\Gamma_N$ for $n$ until either a fixed number $N$ or until the moment…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-10-04 Yuri Kifer

We consider a $\phi$-mixing shift $T$ on a sequence space $\Omega$ and study the number of returns $\{ T^k\omega\in U\}$ to a union $U$ of cylinders of length $n$ until the first return $\{ T^k\omega\in V\}$ to another union $V$ of cylinder…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-09-06 Yuri Kifer , Fan Yang

Given a periodic point $\omega$ in a $\psi$-mixing shift with countable alphabet, the sequence $\{S_{n}\}$ of random variables counting the number of multiple returns to shrinking cylindrical neighborhoods of $\omega$ is considered.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-31 Ariel Rapaport

For a $\psi$-mixing stationary process $\xi_0,\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ we consider the number $\mathcal N_N$ of multiple recurrencies $\{\xi_{q_i(n)}\in\Gamma_N,\, i=1,...,\ell\}$ to a set $\Gamma_N$ for $n$ until the moment $\tau_N$ (which we call…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-01 Yuri Kifer , Ariel Rapaport

In this paper we consider $\phi$-mixing measures and show that the limiting return times distribution is compound Poisson distribution as the target sets shrink to a zero measure set. The approach we use generalises a method given by Galves…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-17 Nicolai T A Haydn , Gin Park

In this paper we prove two results. First we show that dynamical systems with a $\phi$-mixing measure have in the limit Poisson distributed return times almost everywhere. We use the Chen-Stein method to also obtain rates of convergence.…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-02-18 Nicolai T A Haydn , Yannis Psiloyenis

We prove a quenched limiting law for random measures on subshifts at periodic points. We consider a family of measures $\{\mu_\omega\}_{\omega\in\Omega}$, where the `driving space' $\Omega$ is equipped with a probability measure which is…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-12-06 Nicolai Haydn , Mike Todd

For a probability measure preserving dynamical system $(\mathcal{X},f,\mu)$, the Poincar\'e Recurrence Theorem asserts that $\mu$-almost every orbit is recurrent with respect to its initial condition. This motivates study of the statistics…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-05-22 Mark Holland , Mike Todd

Previously it has been shown that some classes of mixing dynamical systems have limiting return times distributions that are almost everywhere Poissonian. Here we study the behaviour of return times at periodic points and show that the…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-03-04 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-30 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Somabha Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

We show that for planar dispersing billiards the return times distribution is, in the limit, Poisson for metric balls almost everywhere w.r.t. the SRB measure. Since the Poincar\'e return map is piecewise smooth but becomes singular at the…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-11-10 Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol

We establish a central limit theorem for counting large continued fraction digits $(a_n)$, i.e. we count occurrences $\{a_n>b_n\}$, where $(b_n)$ is a sequence of positive integers. Our result improves a similar result by Philipp which…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-02 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

We describe an approach that allows us to deduce the limiting return times distribution for arbitrary sets to be compound Poisson distributed. We establish a relation between the limiting return times distribution and the probability of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-08-26 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Persi Diaconis , Nathan Tung

Let $T_{n,m}=\mathbb Z_n\times\mathbb Z_m$, and define a random mapping $\phi\colon T_{n,m}\to T_{n,m}$ by $\phi(x,y)=(x+1,y)$ or $(x,y+1)$ independently over $x$ and $y$ and with equal probability. We study the orbit structure of such…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-10 Alan Hammond , Richard Kenyon

The classical Poisson theorem says that if $\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ are i.i.d. 0--1 Bernoulli random variables taking on 1 with probability $p_n\equiv \la/n$ then the sum $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i$ is asymptotically in $n$ Poisson distributed with…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-11 Yuri Kifer

Nonlinear time series models with exogenous regressors are essential in econometrics, queuing theory, and machine learning, though their statistical analysis remains incomplete. Key results, such as the law of large numbers and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Attila Lovas

We prove for Gibbs-Markov maps that the number of visits to a sequence of shrinking sets with bounded cylindrical lengths converges in distribution to a Poisson law. Applying to continued fractions, this result extends Doeblin's Poisson…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-08 Xuan Zhang

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

In this note we discuss additional properties of mixed Poisson distributions. We discuss the convergence of mixed Poisson distributions to its mixing distribution for the scaling parameter tending to infinity. Moreover, we obtain a central…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-13 Markus Kuba
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