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相关论文: Renewal Time Points for Hawkes Processes

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The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

Recently proposed encoder-decoder structures for modeling Hawkes processes use transformer-inspired architectures, which encode the history of events via embeddings and self-attention mechanisms. These models deliver better prediction and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Yamac Alican Isik , Connor Davis , Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Ricardo Henao

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

We study large time behavior of critical marked Hawkes processes and related branching particle systems. In case of marked Hawkes processes we assume that the kernel function has multiplicative form and the marks corresponding to the events…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

In this paper, we build a model for biological neural nets where the activity of the network is described by Hawkes processes having a variable length memory. The particularity of this paper is to deal with an infinite number of components.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-18 Pierre Hodara , Eva Löcherbach

The present paper provides exact mathematical expressions for the high-order moments of spiking activity in a recurrently-connected network of linear Hawkes processes. It extends previous studies that have explored the case of a (linear)…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2019-12-17 Matthieu Gilson , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience, social networks,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Motivated by questions regarding long range percolation, we investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in $\mathbb{Z}^d$: an individual is attached to each site $x \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, and it can be infected or…

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

Non-linear Hawkes processes with memory kernels given by the sum of Erlang kernels are considered. It is shown that their stability properties can be studied in terms of an associated class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-27 Aline Duarte , Eva Löcherbach , Guilherme Ost

Hawkes process provides an effective statistical framework for analyzing the time-dependent interaction of neuronal spiking activities. Although utilized in many real applications, the classic Hawkes process is incapable of modelling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Feng Zhou , Yixuan Zhang , Jun Zhu

An extension of the Hawkes process, the Marked Hawkes process distinguishes itself by featuring variable jump size across each event, in contrast to the constant jump size observed in a Hawkes process without marks. While extensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process for modeling self-excitation, i.e., when the occurrence of an event makes future events more likely to occur. The corresponding self-triggering function of this type of process may be inferred…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Rafael Lima , Jaesik Choi

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

This chapter provides an accessible introduction for point processes, and especially Hawkes processes, for modeling discrete, inter-dependent events over continuous time. We start by reviewing the definitions and the key concepts in point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Young Lee , Swapnil Mishra , Lexing Xie

A cluster representation for a Hawkes process with renewal immigration is obtained. The centre and satellite processes are indicated as a renewal process and generalized branching processes respectively. It is confirmed that the proposed…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz , Kouji Yano