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We propose an observer for a SIR epidemic model. The observer is then uplifted into a predictor to compensate for time delays in the input and the output. Tuning criteria are given for tuning gains of the predictor, while the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-05 Sabine Mondié , Fernando Castaños

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We propose a unified stochastic SIR model driven by L\'{e}vy noise. The model is structural enough to allow for time-dependency, nonlinearity, discontinuity, demography and environmental disturbances. We present concise results on the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-06 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

Linear scalar differential equations with distributed delays appear in the study of the local stability of nonlinear differential equations with feedback, which are common in biology and physics. Negative feedback loops tend to promote…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-05-29 Samuel Bernard , Fabien Crauste

We consider a single outbreak susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and corresponding estimation procedures for the effective reproductive number $\mathcal{R}(t)$. We discuss the estimation of the underlying SIR parameters with a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-16 Ariel Cintrón-Arias , Carlos Castillo-Chávez , Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Alun L. Lloyd , H. T. Banks

We consider a discrete-time epidemic SISI model in case when the population size is a constant, so the per capita death rate is equal to per capita birth rate. The evolution operator of this model is a non-linear operator which depends on…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-11-29 S. K. Shoyimardonov

In this paper, we consider a reaction-diffusion-advection SIS epidemic model with saturated incidence rate and linear source. We study the uniform bounds of parabolic system and some asymptotic behavior of the basic reproduction number…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-06-26 Qi Wang

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

We will study a mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the presence of combination therapy that includes within-host infectious dynamics. The deterministic model requires us to analyze asymptotic stability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-09-04 Majid Jaberi Douraki

We study a coupled epidemic-mobility model in which, at each time, individuals move in a network of spatially-distributed regions (sub-populations) according to a Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) and subsequently interact with the local…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-30 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

Exact solution of the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model is derived, and various properties of solution are obtained directly from the exact solution. It is shown that there exists an exact solution of an initial value…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-10-04 Norio Yoshida

An SIR model with the coinfection of the two infectious agents in a single host population is considered. The model includes the environmental carry capacity in each class of population. A special case of this model is analyzed and several…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-05-14 Samia Ghersheen , Vladimir Kozlov , Vladimir G. Tkachev , Uno Wennergren

Over the past several decades there has been a proliferation of epidemiological models with ordinary derivatives replaced by fractional derivatives in an an-hoc manner. These models may be mathematically interesting but their relevance is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-03-31 C. N. Angstmann , B. I. Henry , A. V. McGann

In [Math. Comput. Sci. 12 (2018), no. 2, 111--127], a delayed model describing the dynamics of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) with Cytotoxic T Lymphocytes (CTL) immune response is investigated by Allali, Harroudi and Torres. Here,…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-10-03 Sandra Vaz , Delfim F. M. Torres

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

We consider a time-delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model with education dissemination and study the asymptotic dynamics of solutions as well as the asymptotic behavior of the endemic equilibrium with respect to the amount of information…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-10 Dawit Denu , Sedar Ngoma , Rachidi B. Salako

The focus of this article is on the dynamics of a new susceptible-infected model which consists of a susceptible group ($S$) and two different infectious groups ($I_1$ and $I_2$). Once infected, an individual becomes a member of one of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-01 Ayse Peker-Dobie , Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

Traditional studies about disease dynamics have focused on global stability issues, due to their epidemiological importance. We study a classical SIR-SI model for arboviruses in two different directions: we begin by describing an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-08-28 Max O. Souza