相关论文: On invariant measures and the asymptotic behavior …
Epidemiological forecasts are beset by uncertainties about the underlying epidemiological processes, and the surveillance process through which data are acquired. We present a Bayesian inference methodology that quantifies these…
We investigate an infection-age structured competitive epidemiological model involving multiple strains. While classical results establish competitive exclusion when a unique maximal basic reproduction number exists, we provide here a…
This paper deals with the problem of estimating the state of a linear time-invariant system in the presence of sporadically available measurements and external perturbations. An observer with a continuous intersample injection term is…
Why are the epidemic patterns of COVID-19 so different among different cities or countries which are similar in their populations, medical infrastructures, and people's behavior? Why are forecasts or predictions made by so-called experts…
In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for HIV-1 infection with intracellular delay. The model examines a viral-therapy for controlling infections through recombining HIV-1 virus with a genetically modified virus. For this model,…
In this paper, we study the entrance measures of time-inhomogeneous McKean-Vlasov SDEs. The existence is obtained in great generality, where the system can be expanding globally and/or degenerate for numerous number of time intervals. When…
The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…
Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…
We study an SAIRS-type epidemic model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals are explicitly considered in the transmission patterns of the disease. We provide a global stability analysis for…
In this work we investigate the long-time behavior, that is the existence and characterization of invariant measures as well as convergence of transition probabilities, for Markov processes obtained as the unique mild solution to stochastic…
In terms of a nice reference probability measure, integrability conditions on the path-dependent drift are presented for (infinite-dimensional) degenerate PDEs to have regular positive solutions. To this end, the corresponding stochastic…
In this paper, we study the stochastic optimal control problem for control system with time-varying delay. The corresponding stochastic differential equation is a kind of stochastic differential delay equation. We prove the existence and…
The classical Birkhoff ergodic theorem in its most popular version says that the time average along a single typical trajectory of a dynamical system is equal to the space average with respect to the ergodic invariant distribution. This…
In this paper we propose a novel SEIR stochastic epidemic model. A distinguishing feature of this new model is that it allows us to consider a set up under general latency and infectious period distributions. To some extent, queuing systems…
This study presents a specific symplectic map, derived from a Hamiltonian, as a model that exhibits time-reversal symmetry on a microscopic scale. Based on the analysis, any initial density function, defined almost everywhere, converges to…
In this paper we study a system of stochastic differential equations with dissipative nonlinearity which arise in certain neurobiology models. Besides proving existence, uniqueness and continuous dependence on the initial datum, we shall be…
In this work we study the stability properties of the equilibrium points of deterministic epidemic models with nonconstant population size. Models with nonconstant population have been studied in the past only in particular cases, two of…
Following \cite{ipel1}, we consider a nonlinear SIS-type nonlocal system describing the spread of epidemics on networks, assuming nonlimited transmission, We prove local existence of a unique solution for any diffusion coefficients and…
We establish the existence, uniqueness and attraction properties of an ergodic invariant measure for the Boussinesq Equations in the presence of a degenerate stochastic forcing acting only in the temperature equation and only at the largest…
We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…