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This work aims to investigate the existence of ergodic invariant measures and its uniqueness, associated with obstacle problems governed by a T-monotone operator defined on Sobolev spaces and driven by a multiplicative noise in a bounded…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-03 Yassine Tahraoui

In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-20 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

This paper is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous. We…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li

We study stochastic pairwise interaction network systems whereby a finite population of agents, identified with the nodes of a graph, update their states in response to both individual mutations and pairwise interactions with their…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-31 Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Sandro Zampieri

In this paper, we investigate global dynamics for a system of delay differential equations which describes a virus-immune interaction in \textit{vivo}. The model has two distributed time delays describing time needed for infection of cell…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-08-17 Yukihiko Nakata

This paper considers the damped periodic Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation in the presence of a white-in-time and spatially smooth stochastic source term and studies the long-time behavior of solutions. We show that the integrals of motion…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Nathan Glatt-Holtz , Vincent R. Martinez , Geordie H. Richards

In this paper, we consider a reaction-diffusion-advection SIS epidemic model with saturated incidence rate and linear source. We study the uniform bounds of parabolic system and some asymptotic behavior of the basic reproduction number…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-06-26 Qi Wang

We investigate the long-time behavior of solutions to a stochastically forced one-dimensional Navier-Stokes system, describing the motion of a compressible viscous fluid, in the case of linear pressure law. We prove existence of an…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-02-13 Michele Coti Zelati , Nathan Glatt-Holtz , Konstantina Trivisa

In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Assessing the practical identifiability of epidemic models is essential for determining whether parameters can be meaningfully estimated from observed data. Monte Carlo (MC) methods provide an accessible and intuitive framework; however,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Chiara Mattamira , Olivia Prosper Feldman

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

With the prevalence of COVID-19, the modeling of epidemic propagation and its analyses have played a significant role in controlling epidemics. However, individual behaviors, in particular the self-protection and migration, which have a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Yuhan Li , Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths

The stochastic SIRS model is a continuous-time Markov chain modelling the spread of infectious diseases with temporary immunity, in a homogeneously-mixing population of fixed size $N$. We study the scaling behaviour of the extinction time…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-14 Jingran Zhai

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-04 Andrew Lesniewski

Assume that we observe a stochastic process $(X(t))_{t\in[-r,T]}$, which satisfies the linear stochastic delay differential equation \[ \mathrm{d} X(t) = \vartheta \int_{[-r,0]} X(t + u) \, a(\mathrm{d} u) \, \mathrm{d} t + \mathrm{d} W(t)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, the SIRD model, to allow for time-varying parameters for real-time measurement and prediction of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-01 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

We study the spread of susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) infectious diseases where an individual's infectiousness and probability of recovery depend on his/her "age" of infection. We focus first on early outbreak stages when stochastic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-05-14 Joel Miller , Bahman Davoudi , Rafael Meza , Anja Slim , Babak Pourbohloul