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This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-06 Mohamed Mehdaoui

TThis paper presents the dynamics of mosquitoes and humans, with general nonlinear incidence rate and multiple distributed delays for the disease. The model is a SEIRS system of delay differential equations. The normalized dimensionless…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

This paper introduces an innovative model for infectious diseases in predator-prey populations. We not only prove the existence of global non-negative solutions but also establish essential criteria for the system's decline and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-06-16 Yujie Gao , Malay Banerjee , Ton Viet Ta

This paper is concerned with ergodic properties of inhomogeneous Markov processes. Since the transition probabilities depend on initial times, the existing methods to obtain invariant measures for homogeneous Markov processes are not…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-24 Zhenxin Liu , Di Lu

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

The well-known stochastic SIS model characterized by highly nonlinear in epidemiology has a unique positive solution taking values in a bounded domain with a series of dynamical behaviors. However, the approximation methods to maintain the…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-11-02 Hongfu Yang

The aim of this study is to propose a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model that describes the behaviour of symptomatic, asymptomatic and hospitalized patients of COVID-19 epidemic, including the effect of demographic…

In this paper, a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching is proposed and investigated. The governmental policy and implement efficiency are concerned by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. We…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-27 Hongjie Fan , Kai Wang , Yanling Zhu

We investigate the global dynamics of a general Kermack-McKendrick-type epidemic model formulated in terms of a system of renewal equations. Specifically, we consider a renewal model for which both the force of infection and the infected…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-10-04 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , Johannes Müller , Emma S. McBryde

The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

This paper presents an SIR epidemic model with two different types of perturbations: white and L\'evy noises. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. We use the comparison…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

We illustrate how the notion of asymptotic coupling provides a flexible and intuitive framework for proving the uniqueness of invariant measures for a variety of stochastic partial differential equations whose deterministic counterpart…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Geordie Richards

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

We study existence and uniqueness of invariant probability measures for continuous-time Markov processes on general state spaces. Existence is obtained from tightness of time averages under a weak regularity assumption inspired by…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Jean-Gabriel Attali

This paper focuses on the analysis of a stochastic SAIRS-type epidemic model that explicitly incorporates the roles of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals in disease transmission dynamics. Asymptomatic carriers, often…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-14 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed El Fatini , Mohamed Maama

We consider an infinite-dimension SIS model introduced by Delmas, Dronnier and Zitt, with a more general incidence rate, and study its equilibria. Unsurprisingly, there exists at least one endemic equilibrium if and only if the basic…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-02-04 Jean-François Delmas , Kacem Lefki , Pierre-André Zitt

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper is concerned with the existence of invariant measure for 3D stochastic primitive equations driven by linear multiplicative noise under non-periodic boundary conditions. The common method is to apply Sobolev imbedding theorem to…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-30 Rangrang Zhang , Guoli Zhou