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We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

Background: For complex financial systems, the negative and positive return-volatility correlations, i.e., the so-called leverage and anti-leverage effects, are particularly important for the understanding of the price dynamics. However,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-07-22 Jun-jie Chen , Bo Zheng , Lei Tan

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-02-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

In this study, we investigate the statistical properties of the returns and the trading volume. We show a typical example of power-law distributions of the return and of the trading volume. Next, we propose an interacting agent model of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In this paper, we study the herding phenomena in financial markets arising from the combined effect of (1) non-coordinated collective interactions between the market players and (2) concurrent reactions of market players to dynamic market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-05 Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Seung-yeon Cho , Sang-hyeok Lee , Seok-Bae Yun

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

A microscopic model of financial markets is considered, consisting of many interacting agents (spins) with global coupling and discrete-time thermal bath dynamics, similar to random Ising systems. The interactions between agents change…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-08-27 Andrzej Krawiecki , Janusz A. Holyst , and Dirk Helbing

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

We present a nonlinear stochastic differential equation (SDE) which mimics the probability density function (PDF) of the return and the power spectrum of the absolute return in financial markets. Absolute return as a measure of market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-10-05 V. Gontis , J. Ruseckas , A. Kononovicius

Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-07-16 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

We propose a model for equity trading in a population of agents where each agent acts to achieve his or her target stock-to-bond ratio, and, as a feedback mechanism, follows a market adaptive strategy. In this model only a fraction of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-11-14 Misha Perepelitsa , Ilya Timofeyev

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings

A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel
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