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Understanding performance and prioritizing resources for the maintenance of the drinking-water pipe network throughout its life-cycle is a key part of water asset management. Renovation of this vital network is generally hindered by the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-09 Maryam Rahbaralam , David Modesto , Jaume Cardús , Amir Abdollahi , Fernando M Cucchietti

The rotating shallow water model is a simplification of oceanic and atmospheric general circulation models that are used in many applications such as surge prediction, tsunami tracking and ocean modelling. In this paper we introduce a class…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-03-22 Oana Lang , Dan Crisan , Etienne Mémin

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Global sensitivity analysis is a set of methods aiming at quantifying the contribution of an uncertain input parameter of the model (or combination of parameters) on the variability of the response. We consider here the estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Viet Chi Tran , Gwenaëlle Castellan , Anthony Cousien , Chi Tran

This work develops a multiphase thermomechanical model of porous silica aerogel and implements an uncertainty analysis framework consisting of the Sobol methods for global sensitivity analyses and Bayesian inference using a set of…

Accurate overland runoff and infiltration predictions are critical for effective water resources management, in particular for urban flood management. However, the inherent uncertainty in rainfall patterns, soil properties, and initial…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-09 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Because of the complexity of fluid flow solvers, non-intrusive uncertainty quantification techniques have been developed in aerodynamic simulations in order to compute the quantities of interest required in an optimization process, for…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-03-02 Éric Savin , Béatrice Faverjon

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used in the framework of uncertainty quantification. However, when dealing with high dimensional complex problems, challenging issues need to be faced. For instance, high-order polynomials may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

In global sensitivity analysis, the well known Sobol' sensitivity indices aim to quantify how the variance in the output of a mathematical model can be apportioned to the different variances of its input random variables. These indices are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-11 Nazih Benoumechiara , Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Surface runoff shapes planetary landscapes, but global hydrological models often lack the resolution and flexibility to simulate dynamic surface water bodies beyond Earth. Recent studies of Mars have revealed abundant geological and…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 Alexandre Gauvain , François Forget , Martin Turbet , Jean-Baptiste Clément , Lucas Lange , Romain Vandemeulebrouck

In the Performance-Based Engineering (PBE) framework, uncertainties in system parameters, or modelling uncertainties, have been shown to have significant effects on capacity fragilities and annual collapse rates of buildings. Yet, since…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-17 Andre T. Beck , Rubia M. Bosse , Isabela D. Rodrigues

New and efficient methods based on noise addition to protect the confidentiality in population statistics have been developed, tested and applied in census production by various members of the European Statistical System over the past…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Fabian Bach

Complex computer codes are widely used in science and engineering to model physical phenomena. Furthermore, it is common that they have a large number of input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify those which have the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-09 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela , Bertrand Iooss

An efficient method for inferring Manning's $n$ coefficients using water surface elevation data was presented in Sraj et al. (2014) focusing on a test case based on data collected during the $T\=ohoku$ earthquake and tsunami. Polynomial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-06 Ihab Sraj , Kyle T. Mandli , Omar M. Knio , Clint N. Dawson , Ibrahim Hoteit

In order to better comprehend the global carbon cycle and predict the prognosis for the response to climate change, accurate assessment of sea-air CO2 flux is necessary. Comparing to the relative homogeneously distribution of atmospheric…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-02-13 Xiang Li , Minhan Dai , Guizhi Wang

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have seen widespread use in the context of uncertainty quantification. However, their application to structural reliability problems has been hindered by the limited performance of PCE in the tails of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-10 S. Marelli , B. Sudret