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Variance based global sensitivity analysis measures the relevance of inputs to a single output using Sobol' indices. This paper extends the definition in a natural way to multiple outputs, directly measuring the relevance of inputs to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Robert A. Milton , Solomon F. Brown

In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

The global sensitivity analysis of a numerical model aims to quantify, by means of sensitivity indices estimate, the contributions of each uncertain input variable to the model output uncertainty. The so-called Sobol' indices, which are…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-26 Bertrand Iooss , Clémentine Prieur

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Natural complex fluid flow systems exhibit turbulent and chaotic behavior that determines their high-level complexity. Chaos has an accurate mathematical definition, while turbulence is a property of fluid flow without an accurate…

Owing to their periodic and intricate configurations, metamaterials engineered for acoustic and elastic wave control inevitably suffer from manufacturing anomalies and deviate from theoretical dispersion predictions. This work exploits the…

应用物理 · 物理学 2020-08-12 H. Al Ba'ba'a , S. Nandi , T. Singh , M. Nouh

Flow and transport in fractured geological media are strongly controlled by aperture heterogeneity and uncertainty in subsurface characterisation, yet most upscaling approaches rely on deterministic representations of fracture permeability.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-04-20 Sarah Perez , Florian Doster , Hannah Menke , Ahmed ElSheikh , Andreas Busch

We have developed the {\it general method} for the description of {\it separatrix chaos}, basing on the analysis of the separatrix map dynamics. Matching it with the resonant Hamiltonian analysis, we show that, for a given amplitude of…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-11-01 S. M. Soskin , R. Mannella , O. M. Yevtushenko

Superhydrophobic surfaces (SHS) have demonstrated significant potential in reducing turbulent drag by introducing slip conditions through micro-structured geometries. While previous studies have examined individual SHS configurations such…

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Future sea-level rise drives severe risks for many coastal communities. Strategies to manage these risks hinge on a sound characterization of the uncertainties. For example, recent studies suggest that large fractions of the Antarctic ice…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-10-13 Tony E. Wong , Klaus Keller

Sobol' sensitivity indices allow to quantify the respective effects of random input variables and their combinations on the variance of mathematical model output. We focus on the problem of Sobol' indices estimation via a metamodeling…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-07 Ivan I. Panin

The Sobol' indices are a recognized tool in global sensitivity analysis. When the uncertain variables in a model are statistically independent, the Sobol' indices may be easily interpreted and utilized. However, their interpretation and…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-08-17 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

Shear stress distribution prediction in open channels is of utmost importance in hydraulic structural engineering as it directly affects the design of stable channels. In this study, at first, a series of experimental tests were conducted…

Chaos thresholds of the $z$-logistic maps $x_{t+1}=1-a|x_t|^z$ $(z>1; t=0,1,2,...)$ are numerically analysed at accumulation points of cycles 2, 3 and 5. We verify that the nonextensive $q$-generalization of a Pesin-like identity is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Ugur Tirnakli , Constantino Tsallis

Mathematical models of real life phenomena are highly nonlinear involving multiple parameters and often exhibiting complex dynamics. Experimental data sets are typically small and noisy, rendering estimation of parameters from such data…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-05-11 Abhirup Ghosh , Samit Bhattacharyya , Somdatta Sinha , Amit Apte

A major challenge in next-generation industrial applications is to improve numerical analysis by quantifying uncertainties in predictions. In this work we present a formulation of a fully nonlinear and dispersive potential flow water wave…

计算物理 · 物理学 2016-04-15 Daniele Bigoni , Allan P. Engsig-Karup , Claes Eskilsson

Generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) method has been extensively used in uncertainty quantification problems where equations contain random variables. For gPC to achieve high accuracy, PDE solutions need to have high regularity in the random…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-30 Qin Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Ruiwen Shu

Flood mapping and water depth estimation from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery are crucial for calibrating and validating hydraulic models. This study uses SAR imagery to evaluate various preprocessing (especially speckle noise…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Jean-Paul Travert , Cédric Goeury , Sébastien Boyaval , Vito Bacchi , Fabrice Zaoui