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Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-09-19 Mesias Alfeus , Martino Grasselli , Erik Schlögl

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-08-08 Puneet Pasricha , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Selvaraju Natarajan

We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erd\H{o}s Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-19 B. Podobnik , D. Horvatic , M. Bertella , L. Feng , X. Huang , B. Li

We set up a structural model to study credit risk for a portfolio containing several or many credit contracts. The model is based on a jump--diffusion process for the risk factors, i.e. for the company assets. We also include correlations…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Rudi Schäfer , Markus Sjölin , Andreas Sundin , Michal Wolanski , Thomas Guhr

The goal of this paper is to specify dynamic term structure models with discrete tenor structure for credit portfolios in a top-down setting driven by time-inhomogeneous L\'evy processes. We provide a new framework, conditions for absence…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-04-09 Ernst Eberlein , Zorana Grbac , Thorsten Schmidt

Default risk significantly affects the corporate policies of a firm. We develop a model in which a limited liability entity subject to Poisson default shock jointly sets its dividend policy and capital structure to maximize the expected…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 Alex S. L. Tse

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

We propose a new model of the liquidity driven banking system focusing on overnight interbank loans. This significant branch of the interbank market is commonly neglected in the banking system modeling and systemic risk analysis. We…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-03-17 Paweł Smaga , Mateusz Wiliński , Piotr Ochnicki , Piotr Arendarski , Tomasz Gubiec

We theorize the financial health of a company and the risk of its default. A company is financially healthy as long as its equilibrium in the financial system is maintained, which depends on the cost attributable to the probability that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-21 Gianmarco Bet , Francesco Dainelli , Eugenio Fabrizi

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend process,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-12-23 Agostino Capponi , Martin Larsson

Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri

The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

This paper studies the bank dynamic decision problem in the intermediate time step for a discrete-time setup. We have considered a three-time-step model. Initially, the banks raise money through debt and equity and invest in different types…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-15 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The two main approaches in credit risk are the structural approach pioneered in Merton (1974) and the reduced-form framework proposed in Jarrow & Turnbull (1995) and in Artzner & Delbaen (1995). The goal of this article is to provide a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-14 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider a structural default model in an interconnected banking network as in Lipton [International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 19(6), 2016], with mutual obligations between each pair of banks. We analyse the model…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-03 Vadim Kaushansky , Alexander Lipton , Christoph Reisinger

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-03-14 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki
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