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We study the problem of minimizing the discounted probability of exponential Parisian ruin, that is, the discounted probability that an insurer's surplus exhibits an excursion below zero in excess of an exponentially distributed clock. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Virginia R. Young

We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

Applying excursion theory, we re-express several well studied fluctuation quantities associated to Parisian ruin problem for L\'evy risk processes in terms of integrals with respect to excursion measure for spectrally negative L\'evy…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-16 Bo Li , Xiaowen Zhou

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

This paper concerns an insurance firm's surplus process observed at renewal inspection times, with a focus on assessing the probability of the surplus level dropping below zero. For various types of inter-inspection time distributions, an…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Florine Kuipers , Michel Mandjes , Sara Morcy

It has been decades since the academic world of ruin theory defined the insolvency of an insurance company as the time when its surplus falls below zero. This simplification, however, needs careful adaptions to imitate the real-world…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-06 Aili Zhang , Ping Chen , Shuanming Li , Wenyuan Wang

In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-14 Helena Jasiulewicz , Wojciech Kordecki

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We analyze the classical Brownian risk models discussing the approximation of ruin probabilities (classical, {\gamma}-reflected, Parisian and cumulative Parisian) for the case that ruin can occur only on specific discrete grids. A practical…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-29 Grigori Jasnovidov

We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-07 Denis Denisov , Niklas Gotthardt , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Miljenko Huzak , Mihael Perman , Hrvoje Sikic , Zoran Vondracek

We study the asymptotic of the ruin probability for a process which is the solution of linear SDE defined by a pair of independent L\'evy processes. Our main interest is the model describing the evolution of the capital reserve of an…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-04 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, we analyze some distributions involving the longest and shortest negative excursions of spectrally negative L\'evy processes using the binomial expansion approach. More specifically, we study the distributions of such…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-12 M. A. Lkabous , Z. Palmowski

We derive exact tail asymptotics of the Parisian ruin probability for Gaussian risk models driven by locally self-similar Gaussian processes with a power-type deterministic trend. The considered setting includes non-stationary Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck