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We study the probability distribution of the maximum $M_S $ of a smooth stationary Gaussian field defined on a fractal subset $S$ of $\R^n$. Our main result is the equivalent of the asymptotic behavior of the tail of the distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2011-09-20 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Mario Wschebor

The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-14 Christian Y. Robert

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

In this paper we present a conditional principle of Gibbs type for independent nonidentically distributed random vectors. We obtain this result by performing Edgeworth expansions for densities of sums of independent random vectors.

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-19 Dimbihery Rabenoro

We demonstrate both analytically and numerically that the existing methods for measuring tail dependence in copulas may sometimes underestimate the extent of extreme co-movements of dependent risks and, therefore, may not always comply with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Jianxi Su , Ričardas Zitikis

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

We introduce some new indexes to measure the departure of any multivariate continuous distribution on non-negative orthant from a given reference one such the uncorrelated exponential model, similar to the relative Fisher dispersion indexes…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-25 Célestin C. Kokonendji , Aboubacar Y. Touré , Amadou Sawadogo

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Determining the causes of extreme events is a fundamental question in many scientific fields. An important aspect when modelling multivariate extremes is the tail dependence. In application, the extreme dependence structure may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-21 Juraj Bodik , Linda Mhalla , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

In this paper, we propose a novel Euclidean-distance-based coefficient, named differential distance correlation, to measure the strength of dependence between a random variable $ Y \in \mathbb{R} $ and a random vector $ \boldsymbol{X} \in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Yixiao Liu , Pengjian Shang

Consider a random sample from a bivariate distribution function $F$ in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution function $G$. This $G$ is characterized by two extreme-value indices and a spectral measure, the latter…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-01 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

One of the main topics of extreme value analysis is to estimate the extreme value index, an important parameter that controls the tail behavior of the distribution. In many cases, estimating the extreme value index of the target variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Takuma Yoshida , Yuta Umezu

Gaussian comparison inequalities provide a way of bounding probabilities relating to multivariate Gaussian random vectors in terms of probabilities of random variables with simpler correlation structures. In this paper, we establish the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-14 Amanda Turner , John Whitehead

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem, is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bi-variate set…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Financial networks based on Pearson correlations have been intensively studied. However, previous studies may have led to misleading and catastrophic results because of several critical shortcomings of the Pearson correlation. The local…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-04 Peng Liu

Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their natural multivariate generalizations, we give exact formulas…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Optimal transport and Wasserstein distances are flourishing in many scientific fields as a means for comparing and connecting random structures. Here we pioneer the use of an optimal transport distance between L\'{e}vy measures to solve a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-18 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster