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This paper introduces a novel measure to quantify the directional dependence of extreme events between two variables. The proposed approach is designed to capture asymmetric tail dependence by studying conditional tail expectations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

We study extremal conditional independence for H\"{u}sler-Reiss distributions, which is a parametric subclass of multivariate Pareto distributions. As the main contribution, we introduce two set functions, i.e.~functions which assign a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-30 Karel Devriendt , Ignacio Echave-Sustaeta Rodríguez , Frank Röttger

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

In the world of multivariate extremes, estimation of the dependence structure still presents a challenge and an interesting problem. A procedure for the bivariate case is presented that opens the road to a similar way of handling the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

We prove an exponential probability tail inequality for positive semidefinite quadratic forms in a subgaussian random vector. The bound is analogous to one that holds when the vector has independent Gaussian entries.

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-14 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

The Weibull tail-coefficient (WTC) plays a crucial role in extreme value statistics when dealing with Weibull-type tails. Several distributions, such as normal, Gamma, Weibull, and Logistic distributions, exhibit this type of tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-08 Lígia Henriques-Rodrigues , Frederico Caeiro , M. Ivette Gomes

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the componentwise maxima for two bivariate skew elliptical triangular arrays with components given in terms of skew transformations of bivariate spherical random vectors. We find the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-10 Enkelejd Hashorva , Chengxiu Ling

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

The proposed paper discusses the problem of discrimination between close hypotheses about distributions belonging to the Gumbel maximum domain of attraction. The distinctive feature of the proposed work is using only k higher order…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Igor Rodionov

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of a Kotz Type III elliptical random vector. As an application of our asymptotic expansion we derive an approximation for the conditional excess distribution. Furthermore, we discuss the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-25 Enkelejd Hashorva

Distance correlation is a measure of dependence between two paired random vectors or matrices of arbitrary, not necessarily equal, dimensions. Unlike Pearson correlation, the population distance correlation coefficient is zero if and only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Kontemeniotis Nikolaos , Vargiakakis Rafail , Tsagris Michail