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The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

In this paper, we study dependence uncertainty and the resulting effects on tail risk measures, which play a fundamental role in modern risk management. We introduce the notion of a regular dependence measure, defined on multi-marginal…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-28 Corrado De Vecchi , Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

We suggest a dependence coefficient between a categorical variable and some general variable taking values in a metric space. We derive important theoretical properties and study the large sample behaviour of our suggested estimator.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-03 Siegfried Hörmann , Daniel Strenger-Galvis

Let X,Y,B be three independent random variables such that $X$ has the same distribution function as Y B. Assume that B is a Beta random variable with positive parameters a,b and Y has distribution function H. Pakes and Navarro (2007) show…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Anthony Pakes

We propose a Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence directly from observed joint success frequencies across founder, geography, and market attributes. Holding marginal deal success probabilities fixed, deal-level…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-28 Yunqi Liang , Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

We compute the tail asymptotics of the product of a beta random variable and a generalized gamma random variable which are independent and have general parameters. A special case of these asymptotics were proved and used in a recent work of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-10 Jim Pitman , Miklos Z. Racz

We consider the first serial correlation coefficient under an AR(1) model where errors are not assumed to be Gaussian. In this case it is necessary to consider bootstrap approximations for tests based on the statistic since the distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-07 Chris Field , John Robinson

Univariate Weibull distribution is a well-known lifetime distribution and has been widely used in reliability and survival analysis. In this paper, we introduce a new family of bivariate generalized Weibull (BGW) distributions, whose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Mohd. Arshad , Qazi J. Azhad , Mukti Khetan , Arvind Pandey

It is well known that the dependence structure for jointly Gaussian variables can be fully captured using correlations, and that the conditional dependence structure in the same way can be described using partial correlations. The partial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-24 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

This work derives extremal tail bounds for the Gaussian trace estimator applied to a real symmetric matrix. We define a partial ordering on the eigenvalues, so that when a matrix has greater spectrum under this ordering, its estimator will…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-26 Eric Hallman

We propose a specification test for conditional location--scale models based on extremal dependence properties of the standardized residuals. We do so comparing the left-over serial extremal dependence -- as measured by the pre-asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Yannick Hoga

In this paper, we characterize the extremal dependence of $d$ asymptotically dependent variables by a class of random vectors on the $(d-1)$-dimensional hyperplane perpendicular to the diagonal vector $\mathbf1=(1,\ldots,1)$. This…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-15 Phyllis Wan

We compute analytically, for large N, the probability distribution of the number of positive eigenvalues (the index N_{+}) of a random NxN matrix belonging to Gaussian orthogonal (\beta=1), unitary (\beta=2) or symplectic (\beta=4)…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Satya N. Majumdar , Celine Nadal , Antonello Scardicchio , Pierpaolo Vivo

We generalize 2-Wasserstein dependence coefficients to measure dependence between a finite number of random vectors. This generalization includes theoretical properties, and in particular focuses on an interpretation of maximal dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Steven De Keyser , Irene Gijbels

An overview of existing nonparametric tests of extreme-value dependence is presented. Given an i.i.d.\ sample of random vectors from a continuous distribution, such tests aim at assessing whether the underlying unknown copula is of the {\em…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-27 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

We study the persistence probability for some discrete-time, time-reversible processes. In particular, we deduce the persistence exponent in a number of examples: first, we deal with random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) in any dimension…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-25 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang
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