相关论文: A Monte Carlo Approach to Joe DiMaggio and Streaks…

The dynamics of magnetic reversal process plays an important role in the design of the magnetic recording devices in the long time scale limit. In addition to long time scale, microscopic effects such as the entropic effect become important…

We define the hitting (or absorbing) time for the case of continuous quantum walks by measuring the walk at random times, according to a Poisson process with measurement rate $\lambda$. From this definition we derive an explicit formula for…

In the sport of cricket, player batting ability is traditionally measured using the batting average. However, the batting average fails to measure both short-term changes in ability that occur during an innings, and long-term changes that…

Leo Breiman was a unique character. There will not be another like him. I consider it one of my great fortunes in life to have know and worked with him. Along with John Tukey, Leo had the greatest influence on shaping my approach to…

An interesting open problem in number theory asks whether it is possible to walk to infinity on primes, where each term in the sequence has one more digit than the previous. In this paper, we study its variation where we walk on the…

We propose a Monte Carlo sampler from the reverse diffusion process. Unlike the practice of diffusion models, where the intermediary updates -- the score functions -- are learned with a neural network, we transform the score matching…

We address the value of a baserunner at first base waiting to see if a ball in play falls in for a hit, before running. When a ball is hit in the air, the baserunner will usually wait, to gather additional information as to whether a ball…

Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Consider shuffling a deck of $n$ cards, labeled $1$ through $n$, as follows: at each time step, pick one card uniformly with your right hand and another card, independently and uniformly with your left hand; then swap the cards. How long…

We study the record statistics of random walks after $n$ steps, $x_0, x_1,\ldots, x_n$, with arbitrary symmetric and continuous distribution $p(\eta)$ of the jumps $\eta_i = x_i - x_{i-1}$. We consider the age of the records, i.e. the time…

We study a variant of the chip-firing game called \emph{diffusion}. In diffusion on a graph, each vertex of the graph is initially labelled with an integer interpreted as the number of chips at that vertex, and at each subsequent step, each…

Given a domain or, more generally, a Riemannian manifold with boundary, a billiard is the motion of a particle when the field of force is absent. Trajectories of such a motion are geodesics inside the domain; and the particle reflects from…

One of the most well-known conjectures concerning Hamiltonicity in graphs asserts that any sufficiently large connected vertex transitive graph contains a Hamilton cycle. In this form, it was first written down by Thomassen in 1978,…

I worked on String Theory over a period of five years during the First String Era, the most intellectually satisfying years of my scientific life. One of the early prospectors in the String Theory Mine, I was fortunate enough to contribute…

Erd\H{o}s conjectured in 1956 that there are $x^{1-o(1)}$ Carmichael numbers up to $x$. Pomerance made this conjecture more precise and proposed that there are $x^{1-{\frac{\{1+o(1)\}\log\log\log x}{\log\log x}}}$ Carmichael numbers up to…

Assuming the Riemann Hypothesis, it is known that there are infinitely many consecutive pairs of zeros of the Riemann zeta-function within 0.515396 times the average spacing. This is obtained using the method of Montgomery and Odlyzko. We…

We study a $U(1)\times U(1)$ system with two species of loops with mutual $\pi$-statistics in (2+1) dimensions. We are able to reformulate the model in a way that can be studied by Monte Carlo and we determine the phase diagram. In addition…

We study coarsening phenomena in three different simple exclusion processes with quenched disordered jump rates. In the case of the totally asymmetric process, an earlier phenomenological description is improved, yielding for the time…

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones.…

Bill James' Pythagorean formula has for decades done an excellent job estimating a baseball team's winning percentage from very little data: if the average runs scored and allowed are denoted respectively by ${\rm RS}$ and ${\rm RA}$, there…