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The tube method or the volume-of-tube method approximates the tail probability of the maximum of a smooth Gaussian random field with zero mean and unit variance. This method evaluates the volume of a spherical tube about the index set, and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-10 Satoshi Kuriki , Akimichi Takemura , Jonathan E. Taylor

Projection Pursuit methodology permits to solve the difficult problem of finding an estimate of a density defined on a set of very large dimension. In his seminal article, Huber (see "Projection pursuit", Annals of Statistics, 1985)…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-18 Jacques Touboul

It is widely known that the tube method, or equivalently the Euler characteristic heuristic, provides a very accurate approximation for the tail probability that the supremum of a smooth Gaussian random field exceeds a threshold value $c$.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-17 Satoshi Kuriki , Evgeny Spodarev

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

We give necessary and sufficient conditions to characterize the convergence in distribution of a sequence of arbitrary random variables to a probability distribution which is the invariant measure of a diffusion process. This class of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-13 Seiichiro Kusuoka , Ciprian Tudor

Let $X$ be a $d$-dimensional random vector and $X_\theta$ its projection onto the span of a set of orthonormal vectors $\{\theta_1,...,\theta_k\}$. Conditions on the distribution of $X$ are given such that if $\theta$ is chosen according to…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-16 Elizabeth Meckes

We derive a Gaussian approximation result for the maximum of a sum of random vectors under $(2+\iota)$-th moments. Our main theorem is abstract and nonasymptotic, and can be applied to a variety of statistical learning problems. The proof…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-28 Qiang Sun

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

In this paper, for $\mu$ and $\nu$ two probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite moments of order $\rho\ge 1$, we define the respective projections for the $W_\rho$-Wasserstein distance of $\mu$ and $\nu$ on the sets of probability…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Aurélien Alfonsi , Jacopo Corbetta , Benjamin Jourdain

We propose a projection pursuit (PP) algorithm based on Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). The negentropy obtained from a multivariate density estimated by GMMs is adopted as the PP index to be maximised. For a fixed dimension of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-06 Luca Scrucca , Alessio Serafini

We study the probability distribution $F(u)$ of the maximum of smooth Gaussian fields defined on compact subsets of $\R^d$ having some geometric regularity. Our main result is a general formula for the density of $F$. Even though this is an…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs Mario Wschebor

This paper proposes a novel loss function, called 'Tube Loss', for simultaneous estimation of bounds of a Prediction Interval (PI) in the regression setup. The PIs obtained by minimizing the empirical risk based on the Tube Loss are shown…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Pritam Anand , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Suresh Chandra

The moment problem in probability theory asks for criteria for when there exists a unique measure with a given tuple of moments. We study a variant of this problem for random objects in a category, where a moment is given by the average…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-10 Will Sawin , Melanie Matchett Wood

We use Stein's method to obtain bounds on the rate of convergence for a class of statistics in geometric probability obtained as a sum of contributions from Poisson points which are exponentially stabilizing, i.e. locally determined in a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

We propose a projection method to estimate risk-neutral moments from option prices. We derive a finite-sample bound implying that the projection estimator attains (up to a constant) the smallest pricing error within the span of traded…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-22 Tjeerd De Vries

Gaussian random processes which variances reach theirs maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximums of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using Double Sum Method…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-29 E. Hashorva , S. Kobelkov , V. I. Piterbarg

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-11 V. Shcherbakov

Projection pursuit is used to find interesting low-dimensional projections of high-dimensional data by optimizing an index over all possible projections. Most indexes have been developed to detect departure from known distributions, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Ursula Laa , Dianne Cook

A single target is hidden at a location chosen from a predetermined probability distribution. Then, a searcher must find a second probability distribution from which random search points are sampled such that the target is found in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Joseph Snider

Many data problems contain some reference or normal conditions, upon which to compare newly collected data. This scenario occurs in data collected as part of clinical trials to detect adverse events, or for measuring climate change against…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Annalisa Calvi , Ursula Laa , Dianne Cook
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