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A well-known theorem for an irreducible skip-free chain with absorbing state $d$, under some conditions, is that the hitting (absorbing) time of state $d$ starting from state 0 is distributed as the sum of $d$ independent geometric (or…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-31 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

We derive a sufficient condition for a $k$-th order homogeneous Markov chain $\mathbf{Z}$ with finite alphabet $\mathcal{Z}$ to have a unique invariant distribution on $\mathcal{Z}^k$. Specifically, let $\mathbf{X}$ be a first-order,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-26 Bernhard C. Geiger

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

In this short note, we consider posterior simulation for a linear regression model when the error distribution is given by a scale mixture of multivariate normals. We first show that the sampler of Backlund and Hobert (2020) for the case of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

Models with intractable normalizing functions arise frequently in statistics. Common examples of such models include exponential random graph models for social networks and Markov point processes for ecology and disease modeling. Inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

For a discrete-time Markov chain $\{X(t)\}$ evolving on $\Re^\ell$ with transition kernel $P$, natural, general conditions are developed under which the following are established: 1. The transition kernel $P$ has a purely discrete spectrum,…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-19 Adithya Devraj , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

We study the problem of hypothesis testing between two discrete distributions, where we only have access to samples after the action of a known reversible Markov chain, playing the role of noise. We derive instance-dependent minimax rates…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-15 Quentin Berthet , Varun Kanade

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Markov chains arising from random iteration of functions $S_{\theta}:X\to X$, $\theta \in \Theta$, where $X$ is a Polish space and $\Theta$ is arbitrary set of indices are considerd. At $x\in X$, $\theta$ is sampled from distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-14 R. Kapica , M. Ślęczka

The asymptotic normality in multi-dimension of the nonparametric estimator of the transition probabilities of a Markov renewal chain is proved, and is applied to that of other nonparametric estimators involved with the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-11 Hiroki Ogata , Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz , Kouji Yano

By proving a local limit theorem for higher-order transitions, we determine the time required for necklace chains to be close to stationarity. Because necklace chains, built by arranging identical smaller chains around a directed cycle, are…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elizabeth L. Wilmer

We consider the recurrence and transience problem for a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with transition kernel $p(x,\mathrm{d}y)=f_x(y-x)\,\mathrm{d}y$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Nikola Sandrić

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

The Bayesian probit regression model (Albert and Chib (1993)) is popular and widely used for binary regression. While the improper flat prior for the regression coefficients is an appropriate choice in the absence of any prior information,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-06 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite or countable state space. For a site y and subset H of the state space, the hitting time of y under taboo H is defined to be infinite if the process trajectory hits H before y, and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-25 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya

It has been well known for some time that for strictly stationary Markov chains that are ``reversible'', that special symmetry provides special extra features in the mathematical theory. This paper here is primarily a purely expository…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-04 Richard C. Bradley

We establish general theorems quantifying the notion of recurrence --- through an estimation of the moments of passage times --- for irreducible continuous-time Markov chains on countably infinite state spaces. Sharp conditions of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-15 Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis

Given a sequence of i.i.d. random functions $\Psi_{n}:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, we consider the iterated function system and Markov chain which is recursively defined by $X_{0}^{x}:=x$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sara Brofferio , Dariusz Buraczewski