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The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

We consider the random reversible Markov kernel K obtained by assigning i.i.d. nonnegative weights to the edges of the complete graph over n vertices and normalizing by the corresponding row sum. The weights are assumed to be in the domain…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-19 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafaï

Consider a Markov chain $(X_i)_{i\ge0}$ with invariant measure $\mu$ that admits the representation $X_{i+1}=\Phi(X_i,U_i)$, where $(U_i)_{i\ge0}$ are i.i.d. random variables and $\Phi$ is a measurable map. We introduce a tangent-decoupled…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Victor H. de la Peña

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

性能 · 计算机科学 2018-09-18 Yue Chen , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

The inference of thermodynamic quantities from the description of an only partially accessible physical system is a central challenge in stochastic thermodynamics. A common approach is coarse-graining, which maps the dynamics of such a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-19 Jann van der Meer , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

In this paper, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition ensuring the property of exponential dichotomy for periodic linear systems of generalized differential equations. This condition allow us to revisit a recent result of…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2022-08-26 Claudio A. Gallegos , Gonzalo Robledo

Rowmotion is a certain well-studied bijective operator on the distributive lattice $J(P)$ of order ideals of a finite poset $P$. We introduce the rowmotion Markov chain ${\bf M}_{J(P)}$ by assigning a probability $p_x$ to each $x\in P$ and…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-07-29 Colin Defant , Rupert Li , Evita Nestoridi

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Determining potential probability distributions with a given causal graph is vital for causality studies. To bypass the difficulty in characterizing latent variables in a Bayesian network, the nested Markov model provides an elegant…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-12-16 Xingjian Zhang , Yuhao Wang , Elie Wolfe

It is well known that the distributions of hitting times in Markov chains are quite irregular, unless the limit as time tends to infinity is considered. We show that nevertheless for a typical finite irreducible Markov chain and for…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-11 Yuri Bakhtin , Leonid Bunimovich

The cover time of a Markov chain on a finite state space is the expected time until all states are visited. We show that if the cover time of a discrete-time Markov chain with rational transitions probabilities is bounded, then it is a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-30 John Sylvester

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

In a general setting we solve the following inverse problem: Given a positive operators $R$, acting on measurable functions on a fixed measure space $(X,\mathcal B_X)$, we construct an associated Markov chain. Specifically, starting with a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-27 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , Izchak Lewkowicz

In [10], a `Markovian stick-breaking' process which generalizes the Dirichlet process $(\mu, \theta)$ with respect to a discrete base space ${\mathfrak X}$ was introduced. In particular, a sample from from the `Markovian stick-breaking'…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-25 William Lippitt , Sunder Sethuraman

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina