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The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

We study the limit behaviour of a generally non-linear ordinary differential equation whose solution is a superadditive generalisation of a stochastic matrix, and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for this solution to be ergodic,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-21 Jasper De Bock

In this paper we prove a sharp quantitative version of the Kendall's Theorem. The Kendal Theorem states that under some mild conditions imposed on a probability distribution on positive integers (i.e. probabilistic sequence) one can prove…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-09 Witold Bednorz

We give recurrence and transience criteria for two cases of time-homogeneous Markov chains on the real line with transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where $f_x(y)$ are probability densities of symmetric distributions and, for large…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-20 Nikola Sandrić

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

A finite ergodic Markov chain is said to exhibit cutoff if its distance to stationarity remains close to 1 over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Discovered in the context of card…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-10 Anna Ben-Hamou , Justin Salez

The cutoff phenomenon is an abrupt transition from out of equilibrium to equilibrium undergone by certain Markov processes in the limit where the size of the state space tends to infinity: instead of decaying gradually over time, their…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-20 Justin Salez

We present a closed-form, computable expression for the expected number of times any transition event occurs during the transient phase of a reducible Markov chain. Examples of events include time to absorption, number of visits to a state,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Brian D. Ewald , Jeffrey Humpherys , Jeremy West

Using elementary methods, we prove that for a countable Markov chain $P$ of ergodic degree $d > 0$ the rate of convergence towards the stationary distribution is subgeometric of order $n^{-d}$, provided the initial distribution satisfies…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Stefano Isola

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

General Markov chains in an arbitrary phase space are considered in the framework of the operator treatment. Markov operators continue from the space of countably additive measures to the space of finitely additive measures. Cycles of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-09 Alexander I. Zhdanok

Given access to a single long trajectory generated by an unknown irreducible Markov chain $M$, we simulate an $\alpha$-lazy version of $M$ which is ergodic. This enables us to generalize recent results on estimation and identity testing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Sela Fried , Geoffrey Wolfer

Consider a discrete time Markov chain with rather general state space which has an invariant probability measure $\mu$. There are several sufficient conditions in the literature which guarantee convergence of all or $\mu$-almost all…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-29 Michael Scheutzow , Juni Schindler

In a Markov chain started at a state $x$, the hitting time $\tau(y)$ is the first time that the chain reaches another state $y$. We study the probability $\mathbf{P}_x(\tau(y) = t)$ that the first visit to $y$ occurs precisely at a given…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-06 James Norris , Yuval Peres , Alex Zhai

The recently established spectral Favard theorem for bounded banded matrices admitting a positive bidiagonal factorization is applied to a broader class of Markov chains with bounded banded transition matrices, extending beyond the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Amílcar Branquinho , Ana Foulquié-Moreno , Manuel Mañas

We investigate the mixing properties of a model of reversible Markov chains in random environment, which notably contains the simple random walk on the superposition of a deterministic graph and a second graph whose vertex set has been…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-13 Bastien Dubail

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

We prove that an irreducible aperiodic Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if and only if any separately bounded functional of the stationary chain satisfies an appropriate subgaussian deviation inequality from its mean.

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel