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Exploration of the intractable posterior distributions associated with Bayesian versions of the general linear mixed model is often performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo. In particular, if a conditionally conjugate prior is used, then…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-03 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

The purpose of this paper is to study the time average behavior of Markov chains with transition probabilities being kernels of completely continuous operators, and therefore to provide a sufficient condition for a class of Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-16 Shizhou Xu

Let $\Xi_n \subset \mathbb R^d$, $n\ge 1$, be a sequence of finite sets and consider a $\Xi_n$-valued, irreducible, reversible, continuous-time Markov chain $(X^{(n)}_t:t\ge 0)$. Denote by $\mathscr P(\mathbb R^d) $ the set of probability…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-09 Claudio Landim , Ricardo Misturini , Federico Sau

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-26 Louigi Addario-Berry , Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

A sequence of Markov chains is said to exhibit (total variation) cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is abrupt. We consider reversible lazy chains. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-19 Riddhipratim Basu , Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

Necessary and sufficient conditions for a Markov chain to be ergodic are that the chain is irreducible and aperiodic. This result is manifest in the case of random walks on finite groups by a statement about the support of the driving…

量子代数 · 数学 2021-10-22 J. P. McCarthy

We argue that the spectral theory of non-reversible Markov chains may often be more effectively cast within the framework of the naturally associated weighted-$L_\infty$ space $L_\infty^V$, instead of the usual Hilbert space $L_2=L_2(\pi)$,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-30 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

Estimating the entropy based on data is one of the prototypical problems in distribution property testing and estimation. For estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution on $S$ elements with independent samples, [Paninski2004] showed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-25 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Chuan-Zheng Lee , Tsachy Weissman , Yihong Wu , Tiancheng Yu

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

Let $(S_n)_n$ be a $R^d$-valued random walk ($d\geq2$). Using Babillot's method [2], we give general conditions on the characteristic function of $S_n$ under which $(S_n)_n$ satisfies the same renewal theorem as the classical one obtained…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-11 Denis Guibourg , Loïc Hervé

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Consider the class of (functions of) strictly stationary Markov chains in which (i) the second moments are finite and (ii) absolute regularity (beta-mixing) is satisfied with exponential mixing rate. For (functions of) Markov chains in that…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Richard C. Bradley

This article describes an accurate procedure for computing the mean first passage times of a finite irreducible Markov chain and a Markov renewal process. The method is a refinement to the Kohlas, Zeit fur Oper Res, 30,197-207, (1986)…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-17 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We introduce a three-parameter random walk with reinforcement, called the $(\theta,\alpha,\beta)$ scheme, which generalizes the linearly edge reinforced random walk to uncountable spaces. The parameter $\beta$ smoothly tunes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-07 Sergio Bacallado , Stefano Favaro , Lorenzo Trippa

The goal of this paper is to develop a general method to establish conditional ergodicity of infinite-dimensional Markov chains. Given a Markov chain in a product space, we aim to understand the ergodic properties of its conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

We study an irreducible Markov chain on the category of finite abelian $p$-groups, whose stationary measure is the Cohen-Lenstra distribution. This Markov chain arises when one studies the cokernel of a random matrix $M$, after conditioning…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-14 Nikita Lvov

Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to…

概率论 · 数学 2008-11-14 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe