概率论
Given a mean zero functional $F$ of a Poisson measure on a metric space, we apply the Malliavin-Stein method to establish sharpened second-order Poincar\'e inequalities for $F/\sqrt{\operatorname{Var} (F)}$ in terms of fourth moments of…
We consider the stochastic heat equation on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$ in dimension $d \geq 3$ and with small coupling constant. We show uniqueness of global solutions within the class of positive functions that are stationary in…
We consider the fluctuations of the free energy in generalized Sherrington-Kirkpatrick models and the log likelihood ratio of spiked Wigner models in the high temperature/subcritical regime. We prove that the limiting laws of the…
We establish a dimension-free, uniform-in-time reverse transportation inequality for Langevin dynamics with non-convex potentials. This inequality controls the R\'enyi divergence of arbitrary order between the process distributions starting…
We study the stochastic Burgers equation driven by an additive Hermite sheet of order $q \ge 1$. The equation is formulated in the mild sense using the heat semigroup, and existence and uniqueness of solutions are established via a…
This paper explores the Site Frequency Spectrum (SFS) in stationary branching populations. We derive estimates for the SFS associated with a sample from a continuous-state branching process conditioned to never go extinct, utilizing a…
We introduce the exponentially fading memory (EFM) signature, a time-invariant transformation of an infinite (possibly rough) path that serves as a mean-reverting analogue of the classical path signature. We construct the EFM-signature via…
We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…
The aim of this paper is to analyse a WIS-stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H>\tfrac{1}{2}$. For this, we summarise the theory of fractional white noise and prove a fundamental $L^2$-estimate for…
Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…
We introduce $p$-uniformity to characterize the scaling of density fluctuations in spatial random systems in $\mathbb{R}^d$, ranging from hyperfluctuation to stealthy hyperuniformity. Our central theorem establishes sufficient conditions to…
We prove a complete characterization of the extremal invariant measures for half-space geometric last-passage percolation with an arbitrary boundary parameter. This is the first result of its kind for a model in the KPZ universality class…
We study the high excursion probability of a centered Gaussian field on a square. Writing \(\sigma\) and \(r\) for its standard deviation and correlation function, we assume that \(\sigma\) has a unique maximum at the corner…
Classical entropy regularization is poorly suited to continuous-time martingale transport, since relative entropy between diffusion laws typically forces their volatility characteristics to coincide. We introduce a specific-entropy…
We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…
We derive the sharp return-probability asymptotic for the switch--walk--switch lamplighter walk with lamp group $\mathbb Z_2$ over the infinite $d$-regular tree: \[ p_{2n}(e,e) = \rho_d^{2n} \exp\left[ -\left(\pi^2(\log(d-1))^2+o(1)\right)…
We prove exponential decay of pair correlations for 1D stationary point processes when spacings satisfy a Markov condition, geometric ergodicity, and a condition on exponential moments. The conditions are phrased for stationary sequences of…
We present a "black box" proof of mean-field near-critical behaviour for a family of functions on $\mathbb Z^d$ (${d>2}$) satisfying a short list of assumptions. The functions represent two-point functions of a lattice statistical…
These notes have been written for a series of lectures to be given at the 44th Finnish Summer School on Probability and Statistics in Lammi, Finland, from 25th to 29th May, 2026. They contain an introduction to Wiener chaos decomposition in…
Let $s(n)$ denote the number of ones in the binary expansion of a natural number $n\in\mathbb{N}$. For any $t\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d\in\mathbb{Z}$, let $\mu_t(d)$ denote the asymptotic density of the set of those natural numbers $n$ for which…