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Firm foundation theory estimates a security's firm fundamental value based on four determinants: expected growth rate, expected dividend payout, the market interest rate and the degree of risk. In contrast, other views of decision-making in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 D. Sornette

We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-04-20 Alex J. Bladon , Esteban Moro , Tobias Galla

We consider the roughness properties of NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) stock-price fluctuations. The statistical properties of the data are relatively homogeneous within the same day but the large jumps between different days prevent the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 V. Alfi , F. Coccetti , A. Petri , L. Pietronero

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Stefan Bornholdt , Yoshi Fujiwara

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

Detailed analysis of the log-periodic structures as precursors of the financial crashes is presented. The study is mainly based on the German Stock Index (DAX) variation over the 1998 period which includes both, a spectacular boom and a…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 S. Drozdz , F. Ruf , J. Speth , M. Wojcik

We propose a non-linear observation-driven version of the Hasbrouck (1991) model for dynamically estimating trades' market impact and information content. We find that market impact displays an intraday pattern superimposed with large…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-12-27 F. Campigli , G. Bormetti , F. Lillo

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

We find a nonlinear dependence between an indicator of the degree of multiscaling of log-price time series of a stock and the average correlation of the stock with respect to the other stocks traded in the same market. This result is a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-04-02 R. J. Buonocore , G. Brandi , R. N. Mantegna , T. Di Matteo

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-03 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The prevention of rapidly and steeply falling market prices is vital to avoid financial crisis. To this end, some stock exchanges implement a price limit or a circuit breaker, and there has been intensive investigation into which regulation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-20 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

We present a comparative analysis of multifractal properties of financial time series built on stock indices from developing (WIG) and developed (S&P500) financial markets. It is shown how the multifractal image of the market is altered…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-07-19 Dariusz Grech , Lukasz Czarnecki

In this paper, we describe a newly discovered statistical property of time series data for daily price changes. We conducted quantitative investigation of the {\it calm-time intervals} of price changes for 800 companies listed in the Tokyo…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji , Michiyo Kaizoji

The complexity of financial markets arise from the strategic interactions among agents trading stocks, which manifest in the form of vibrant correlation patterns among stock prices. Over the past few decades, complex financial markets have…

The statistical properties of the increments x(t+T) - x(t) of a financial time series depend on the time resolution T on which the increments are considered. A non-parametric approach is used to study the scale dependence of the empirical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Rama Cont

In the recent past, there were several works on the prediction of stock price using different methods. Sentiment analysis of news and tweets and relating them to the movement of stock prices have already been explored. But, when we talk…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Subhasis Dasgupta , Pratik Satpati , Ishika Choudhary , Jaydip Sen

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
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