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Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulated data for complex systems, much efforts have been devoted to identifying governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. Despite the wide applications of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Yang Li , Yubin Lu , Shengyuan Xu , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper we present some new limit theorems for power variation of $k$th order increments of stationary increments L\'evy driven moving averages. In the infill asymptotic setting, where the sampling frequency converges to zero while…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-25 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Mark Podolskij

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-21 Wesley W. Erickson , Daniel A. Steck

Many real-world systems exhibit ``noisy'' evolution in time; interpreting their finitely-sampled behavior as arising from continuous-time processes (in the It\^o or Stratonovich sense) has led to significant success in modeling and analysis…

数学物理 · 物理学 2025-07-29 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

This article treats long term average impulse control problems with running costs in the case that the underlying process is a L\'evy process. Under quite general conditions we characterize the value of the control problem as the value of a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-15 Sören Christensen , Tobias Sohr

We introduce and analyze multilevel Monte Carlo algorithms for the computation of $\mathbb {E}f(Y)$, where $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in[0,1]}$ is the solution of a multidimensional L\'{e}vy-driven stochastic differential equation and $f$ is a real-valued…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-10 Steffen Dereich

Distributional properties -including Laplace transforms- of integrals of Markov processes received a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we complete existing results in several ways. First, we provide the analytical solution…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-09 Frédéric Vrins

We consider a multidimensional It\^o process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with some unknown drift coefficient process $b_t$ and volatility coefficient $\sigma(X_t,\theta)$ with covariate process $X=(X_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$, the function…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-18 Stefano M. Iacus , Nakahiro Yoshida

We obtain sample-path large deviations for a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with bounded drifts and heavy-tailed L\'evy processes. These heavy-tailed L\'evy processes do not satisfy the exponential integrability…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Qiao Huang , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic modelling necessitates an interpretation of noise. In this paper, we describe the loss of deterministically stable behaviour in a fundamental fluid mechanics problem, conditional to whether noise is introduced in the sense of…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-17 Theo Diamantakis , James Woodfield

Fractional Brownian motion can be represented as an integral of a deterministic kernel w.r.t. an ordinary Brownian motion either on infinite or compact interval. In previous literature fractional L\'evy processes are defined by integrating…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Heikki Tikanmäki , Yuliya Mishura

This paper investigates L\'evy walks with random velocities, extending classical models beyond constant speed assumptions. We derive scaling limits, demonstrating that diffusion depends on interplay between heavy-tailed duration and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Hubert Woszczek , Marek A. Teuerle , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein

Calibrating a L\'evy process usually requires characterizing its jump distribution. Traditionally this problem can be solved with nonparametric estimation using the empirical characteristic functions (ECF), assuming certain regularity, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Kailai Xu , Eric Darve

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu