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The dual crises of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the global financial crisis has prompted a call for explanations of non-equilibrium market dynamics. Recently a promising approach has been the use of agent based models (ABMs) to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-06 Michael S. Harré

We investigate the unbiased model for money exchanges with collective debt limit: agents give at random time a dollar to one another as long as they have at least one dollar or they can borrow a dollar from a central bank if the bank is not…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-24 Fei Cao , Sébastien Motsch

Traders in a market typically have widely different, private information on the return of an asset. The equilibrium price of the asset may reflect this information more accurately if the number of traders is large enough compared to the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-08-17 Johannes Berg , Matteo Marsili , Aldo Rustichini , Riccardo Zecchina

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-17 David Criens

We consider statistical Markov Decision Processes where the decision maker is risk averse against model ambiguity. The latter is given by an unknown parameter which influences the transition law and the cost functions. Risk aversion is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We give a complete solution to the problem of minimizing the expected liquidity costs in presence of a general drift when the underlying market impact model has linear transient price impact with exponential resilience. It turns out that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-03-05 Christopher Lorenz , Alexander Schied

We consider a continuous-time financial market with an asset whose price is modeled by a linear stochastic differential equation with drift and volatility switching driven by a uniformly ergodic jump Markov process with a countable state…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-14 Vitaliy Golomoziy , Kamil Kladivko , Yuliya Mishura

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

"Economists miss the boat when they act as if Arrow and Debreu's general equilibrium model accurately describes markets in the real world of constant change. In contrast, the classical view on the market mechanism offers a helpful…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-23 Sabiou Inoua , Vernon Smith

We propose a model and an estimation technique to distinguish systemic risk and contagion in credit risk. The main idea is to assume, for a set of $d$ obligors, a set of $d$ idiosyncratic shocks and a shock that triggers the default of all…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-02-09 Umberto Cherubini , Sabrina Mulinacci

Metastability is a phenomenon observed in stochastic systems which stay in a false-equilibrium within a region of its state space until the occurrence of a sequence of rare events that leads to an abrupt transition to a different region.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-18 Diego Marcondes , Adilson Simonis

Understanding the stochastic behavior of currency exchange rates is critical for assessing financial stability and anticipating market transitions. In this study, we investigate the empirical dynamics of the USD exchange rate in three…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-04 Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo , Amin Safaeesirat

We propose a model to study the consequences of including financial stability among the central bank's objectives when market players are strategic, and surprises compromise their stability. In this setup, central banks underreact to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-30 Giampaolo Bonomi , Ali Uppal

Recently, the notion of cryptocurrencies has come to the fore of public interest. These assets that exist only in electronic form, with no underlying value, offer the owners some protection from tracking or seizure by government or…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-09 Carey Caginalp

Can uncertainty about credit availability trigger a slowdown in real activity? This question is answered by using a novel method to identify shocks to uncertainty in access to credit. Time-variation in uncertainty about credit availability…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-01 Pratiti Chatterjee , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-11 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-04-07 Ilia Shilov , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Busic

In a New Keynesian model where the trade-off between stabilising the aggregate inflation rate and the output gap arises from sectoral asymmetries, the gains from commitment are either zero or negligible. Thus, to the extent that economic…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-28 Juan Paez-Farrell

Economy is demanding new models, able to understand and predict the evolution of markets. To this respect, Econophysics offers models of markets as complex systems, that try to comprehend macro-, system-wide states of the economy from the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-05-20 Carmen Pellicer-Lostao , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

A principal continually decides whether to approve resource allocations to an agent, who exerts private effort to remain eligible. The principal must perform costly inspections to determine the agent's eligibility. We characterize Markov…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-04 Peter Achim , Jan Knoepfle