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We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

Network effects are the added value derived solely from the popularity of a product in an economic market. Using agent-based models inspired by statistical physics, we propose a minimal theory of a competitive market for (nearly)…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-05-31 Andrew Lucas

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng

In this article we revisit the classic problem of tatonnement in price formation from a microstructure point of view, reviewing a recent body of theoretical and empirical work explaining how fluctuations in supply and demand are slowly…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

In this work, we present a continuous-time large-population game for modeling market microstructure betweentwo consecutive trades. The proposed modeling framework is inspired by our previous work [23]. In this framework, the Limit Order…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-06-21 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

We develop a theory of securities price formation and dynamics based on quantum approach and without presuming any similarities with quantum mechanics. Disorder introduced by trading environment leads to probability distribution of returns…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-05-19 Jack Sarkissian

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend process,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-12-23 Agostino Capponi , Martin Larsson

Mathematical methods of population genetics and framework of exchangeability provide a Markov chain model for analysis and interpretation of stochastic behaviour of equity markets, explaining, in particular, market shape formation,…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-24 Sergey Sosnovskiy

Complex systems comprise a large number of interacting elements, whose dynamics is not always a priori known. In these cases -- in order to uncover their key features -- we have to turn to empirical methods, one of which was recently…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Janos Kertesz , Zoltan Eisler

The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

In a fixed time horizon, appropriately executing a large amount of a particular asset -- meaning a considerable portion of the volume traded within this frame -- is challenging. Especially for illiquid or even highly liquid but also highly…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-15 David Evangelista , Yuri Thamsten

A new definition of events of game-theoretic probability zero in continuous time is proposed and used to prove results suggesting that trading in financial markets results in the emergence of properties usually associated with randomness.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

In this paper, we examine in an abstract framework, how a tradeoff between efficiency and robustness arises in different dynamic oligopolistic market architectures. We consider a market in which there is a monopolistic resource provider and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-10-02 Qingqing Huang , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A Dahleh

An artificial stock market is established based on multi-agent . Each agent has a limit memory of the history of stock price, and will choose an action according to his memory and trading strategy. The trading strategy of each agent evolves…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Chun-Xia Yang , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Jun Liu , Zi-Nan Tang

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

We study the problem of maximising terminal utility for an agent facing model uncertainty, in a frictionless discrete-time market with one safe asset and finitely many risky assets. We show that an optimal investment strategy exists if the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-10 Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea Meireles-Rodrigues