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We propose a simple statistical-physics-inspired model for the effect of intrinsic fluctuations on supply and demand in markets. The model consists of agents that trade in two types of goods of which the total number is separately…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-01-13 J. R. Mulder , René van Roij , R. A. Duine

We discuss a simple model based on the Minority Game which reproduces the main stylized facts of anomalous fluctuations in finance. We present the analytic solution of the model in the thermodynamic limit and show that stylized facts arise…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Damien Challet , Matteo Marsili

We analyze the efficiency of markets with friction, particularly power markets. We model the market as a dynamic system with $(d_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the demand process and $(s_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the supply process. Using stochastic differential…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2011-09-19 Arman C. Kizilkale , Shie Mannor

We review the nature of some well-known phenomena such as volatility smiles, convexity adjustments and parallel derivative markets. We propose that the market is incomplete and postulate the existence of intrinsic risks in every contingent…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-08-19 Truc Le

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-06-11 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jialin Yu

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

综合数学 · 数学 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-06-22 Ryo Murakami , Tomomichi Nakamura , Shin Kimura , Masashi Manabe , Toshihiro Tanizawa

We provide closed-form market equilibrium formula consolidating informational imperfections and investors beliefs. Based on Merton's model, we characterize the equilibrium expected excess returns vector with incomplete information. We then…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-02-14 Hafid Lalioui , Amine Ben Amar , Makram Bellalah

This paper introduces an equilibrium framework based on sequential sampling in which players face strategic uncertainty over their opponents' behavior and acquire informative signals to resolve it. Sequential sampling equilibrium delivers a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-03 Duarte Gonçalves

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We have studied here the self-organising features of the dynamics of a model market, where the agents `trade' for a single commodity with their money. The model market consists of fixed numbers of economic agents, money supply and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Anirban Chakraborti , Srutarshi Pradhan , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

In this paper we study the evolution of asset price bubbles driven by contagion effects spreading among investors via a random matching mechanism in a discrete-time version of the liquidity based model of [25]. To this scope, we extend the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Katharina Oberpriller

The sustainability conditions for the market participants with a different ownership model were also determined. It was revealed, that the nonlinear form of the equations describing the market behavior with the prevailing private capital,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-23 Viktor I. Shapovalov

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

We study a an optimal high frequency trading problem within a market microstructure model designed to be a good compromise between accuracy and tractability. The stock price is driven by a Markov Renewal Process (MRP), while market orders…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-01-06 Pietro Fodra , Huyên Pham

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Single index financial market models cannot account for the empirically observed complex interactions between shares in a market. We describe a multi-share financial market model and compare characteristics of the volatility, that is the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Adam Ponzi