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The nature of available economic data has changed fundamentally in the last decade due to the economy's digitisation. With the prevalence of often black box data-driven machine learning methods, there is a necessity to develop interpretable…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-28 Pratha Khandelwal , Philip Nadler , Rossella Arcucci , William Knottenbelt , Yi-Ke Guo

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a Boltzmann type price formation model, which describes the trading dynamics in a financial market. In many of these markets trading happens at high frequencies and low transactions costs.…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2013-12-05 Martin Burger , Luis Caffarelli , Peter A. Markowich , Marie-Therese Wolfram

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

We present a set of models of the main stylized facts of market price fluctuations. These models comprise dynamical evolution with threshold dynamics and Langevin price equation with multiplicative noise, percolation models to describe the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , D. Stauffer , H. Takayasu

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

Empirical determination of the scaling properties and exponents of time series presents a formidable challenge in testing, and developing, a theoretical understanding of turbulence and other out-of-equilibrium phenomena. We discuss the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-01-29 S. C. Chapman , B. Hnat , G. Rowlands , N. W. Watkins

Quadratic Hawkes (QHawkes) processes have proved effective at reproducing the statistics of price changes, capturing many of the stylised facts of financial markets. Motivated by the recently reported strong occurrence of endogenous…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-02-15 Cécilia Aubrun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Employing a recent technique which allows the representation of nonstationary data by means of a juxtaposition of locally stationary patches of different length, we introduce a comprehensive analysis of the key observables in a financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-05-03 Sabrina Camargo , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Celia Anteneodo

We study the nature of fluctuations in variety of price indices involving companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The fluctuations at multiple scales are extracted through the use of wavelets belonging to Daubechies basis. The fact…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-03-26 Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Sayantan Ghosh , Arjun Banerjee , Jainendra Bahadur , P. Manimaran

The price clustering phenomenon manifesting itself as an increased occurrence of specific prices is widely observed and well-documented for various financial instruments and markets. In the literature, however, it is rarely incorporated…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

During a speculative episode the price of an item jumps from an initial level p_1 to a peak level p_2 before more or less returning to level p_1. The ratio p_2/p_1 is referred to as the amplitude A of the peak. This paper shows that for a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 B. M. Roehner

We analyze the sequence of time intervals between consecutive stock trades of thirty companies representing eight sectors of the U. S. economy over a period of four years. For all companies we find that: (i) the probability density function…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Ainslie Yuen , Boris Podobnik , Youngki Lee

We model financial transactions as random walks on activity-driven temporal networks. By enforcing fund conservation, our framework analytically derives heavy-tailed distributions for the stationary balances and transaction sizes.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-25 Carolina E. Mattsson , Claudio Cellerini , Jaume Ojer , Michele Starnini

Most data processing techniques, applied to biomedical and sociological time series, are only valid for random fluctuations that are stationary in time. Unfortunately, these data are often non stationary and the use of techniques of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 M. Ignaccolo , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , P. Hamilton , B. J. West

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini