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In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-04-09 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Jan Korbel

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

The mesoscopic organization of complex systems, from financial markets to the brain, is an intermediate between the microscopic dynamics of individual units (stocks or neurons, in the mentioned cases), and the macroscopic dynamics of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-08-17 Assaf Almog , Ferry Besamusca , Mel MacMahon , Diego Garlaschelli

Volatility of financial stock is referring to the degree of uncertainty or risk embedded within a stock's dynamics. Such risk has been received huge amounts of attention from diverse financial researchers. By following the concept of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-25 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

In practice daily volatility of portfolio returns is transformed to longer holding periods by multiplying by the square-root of time which assumes that returns are not serially correlated. Under this assumption this procedure of scaling can…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-11-30 Nikolaus Rab , Richard Warnung

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

Fat tails in financial time series and increase of stocks cross-correlations in high volatility periods are puzzling facts that ask for new paradigms. Both points are of key importance in fundamental research as well as in Risk Management…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Marco Airoldi

We make an attempt to map a simple economically motivated model for the price evolution [J. Phys. A: Gen. Math 33, 3637 (2000)] to the phenomenological renormalization group scaling of stock markets. This mapping gives insight into the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 E. Canessa

We introduce a new Self-Organized Criticality (SOC) model for simulating price evolution in an artificial financial market, based on a multilayer network of traders. The model also implements, in a quite realistic way with respect to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-06-30 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-04-20 Alessandro Andreoli , Francesco Caravenna , Paolo Dai Pra , Gustavo Posta

Accurate modeling of the temporal evolution of asset prices is crucial for understanding financial markets. We explore the potential of discrete-time quantum walks to model the evolution of asset prices. Return distributions obtained from a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-05 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

We consider the jump telegraph process when switching intensities depend on external shocks also accompanying with jumps. The incomplete financial market model based on this process is studied. The Esscher transform, which changes only…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Nikita Ratanov

Fractals and multifractals and their associated scaling laws provide a quantification of the complexity of a variety of scale invariant complex systems. Here, we focus on lattice multifractals which exhibit complex exponents associated with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-04-14 W. -X. Zhou , D. Sornette

We develop a theory of securities price formation and dynamics based on quantum approach and without presuming any similarities with quantum mechanics. Disorder introduced by trading environment leads to probability distribution of returns…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-05-19 Jack Sarkissian

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Many financial variables are found to exhibit multifractal nature, which is usually attributed to the influence of temporal correlations and fat-tailedness in the probability distribution (PDF). Based on the partition function approach of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-01-13 Wei-Xing Zhou

A new model for the stock market price analysis is proposed. It is suggested to look at price as an everywhere discontinuous function of time of bounded variation.

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-02-16 Aleksey Kharevsky