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Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

In this comment we discuss the problem of reconciling the linear efficiency of price returns with the long-memory of supply and demand. We present new evidence that shows that efficiency is maintained by a liquidity imbalance that co-moves…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Szabolcs Mike

Basic peculiarities of market price fluctuations are known to be well described by a recently developed random walk model in a temporally deforming quadric potential force whose center is given by a moving average of past price traces…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-05-29 Kota Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

We review the evidence that the erratic dynamics of markets is to a large extent of endogenous origin, i.e. determined by the trading activity itself and not due to the rational processing of exogenous news. In order to understand why and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-09-16 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we compare market price fluctuations with the response to fundamental price drops within the Lux-Marchesi model which is able to reproduce the most important stylized facts of real market data. Major differences can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 A. G. Zawadowski , R. Karadi , J. Kertesz

In our empirical study, we examine the price of liquid stocks after experiencing a large intraday price change using data from the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find significant reversal for both intraday price decreases and increases. The…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Adam G. Zawadowski , Gyorgy Andor , Janos Kertesz

As a model of market price, we introduce a new type of random walk in a moving potential which is approximated by a quadratic function with its center given by the moving average of its own trace. The properties of resulting random walks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Misako Takayasu , Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu

We study the relaxation dynamics of the bid-ask spread and of the midprice after a sudden, large variation of the spread, corresponding to a temporary crisis of liquidity in a double auction financial market. We find that the spread decays…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Adam Ponzi , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We propose a dynamical theory of market liquidity that predicts that the average supply/demand profile is V-shaped and {\it vanishes} around the current price. This result is generic, and only relies on mild assumptions about the order flow…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2011-11-02 Bence Toth , Yves Lemperiere , Cyril Deremble , Joachim de Lataillade , Julien Kockelkoren , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we explain the wild fluctuations of financial prices from the intrinsic amplifying feedback of speculative supply and demand. Formally, we show that an asset return follows a multiplicative random growth with exogenous input,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-08-11 Sabiou Inoua

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Financial price changes obey two universal properties: they follow a power law and they tend to be clustered in time. The second regularity, known as volatility clustering, entails some predictability in the price changes: while their sign…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-02 Sabiou Inoua

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

In this paper we demonstrate a striking regularity in the way people place limit orders in financial markets, using a data set consisting of roughly seven million orders from the London Stock Exchange. We define the relative limit price as…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ilija I. Zovko , J. Doyne Farmer

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Irene Giardina , Marc Mezard

The quotient of random variables with normal distributions is examined and proven to have have power law decay, with density $f\left( x\right) \simeq f_{0}x^{-2}$, with the coefficient depending on the means and variances of the numerator…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-06 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We present an empirical analysis of the microstructure of financial markets and, in particular, of the static and dynamic properties of liquidity. We find that on relatively large time scales (15 minutes) large price fluctuations are…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-12-09 Francesco Corradi , Andrea Zaccaria , Luciano Pietronero

In this study we examine the evolution of price, volume, and the bid-ask spread after extreme 15 minute intraday price changes on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find that due to strong behavioral trading there is an overreaction. Furthermore…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 A. G. Zawadowski , J. Kertesz , G. Andor

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
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