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Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

We consider parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by a Wiener process and a compound Poisson process as small noises. The goal is to give a threshold-type quasi-likelihood estimator and show its consistency and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-20 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

We construct a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process, whose jump measure heavily depends on the values taken by the process. We determine the singularity spectrum of this process, which turns out to be random and to depend locally on the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-07-02 Julien Barral , Nicolas Fournier , Stephane Jaffard , Stephane Seuret

We present a new method for simulating Markovian jump processes with time-dependent transitions rates, which avoids the transformation of random numbers by inverting time integrals over the rates. It relies on constructing a sequence of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Viktor Holubec , Petr Chvosta , Mario Einax , Philipp Maass

This paper presents some general formulas for random partitions of a finite set derived by Kingman's model of random sampling from an interval partition generated by subintervals whose lengths are the points of a Poisson point process.…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jim Pitman

We consider the class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP), whose state space is $\R\_{+}^{*}$, that possess an increasing deterministic motion and that shrink deterministically when they jump. Well known examples for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-12 Nathalie Krell

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

In this paper, we are interested in the exact simulation of a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP). We show how to perform efficient thinning algorithms depending on the jump rate bound. For different types of jump rate…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

Dunkl processes are multidimensional Markov processes defined through the use of Dunkl operators. These processes have discontinuities, and they can be separated into their continuous (radial) part, and their discontinuous (jump) part.…

数学物理 · 物理学 2021-05-20 Sergio Andraus

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

We consider the almost semi-continuous processes defined on a finite Markov chain. The representation of the moment generating functions for the absolute maximum after achievement positive level and for the recovery time are obtained.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-12 Ievgen Karnaukh

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-24 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos
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