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This study investigates the influence of monetary policy and monetary policy uncertainties on Bitcoin returns, utilizing monthly data of BTC, and MPU from July 2010 to August 2023, and employing the Markov Switching Means VAR (MSM-VAR)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

40 days after the start of the international monitoring of COVID-19, we search for the effect of official announcements regarding new cases of infection and death ratio on the financial markets volatility index (VIX). Whereas the new cases…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-03-10 Claudiu Albulescu

This paper examines the effects of U.S. presidential election cycles on sectoral stock markets. Using a high-frequency identification approach, I construct a novel "election shock'' series, which captures exogenous surprises in election…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Aaron J. Amburgey

COVID19s widespread distribution is wreaking havoc on peoples lives all over the world. This pandemic has also had a significant impact on energy consumption. Its influence can be seen in the power systems operation and the market as well.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-23 Tohid Khalili , Ali Bidram , Janie M. Chermak

Identifying macroeconomic events that are responsible for dramatic changes of economy is of particular relevance to understand the overall economic dynamics. We introduce an open-source available efficient Python implementation of a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps

We establish the existence of anomalous excess returns based on trend following strategies across four asset classes (commodities, currencies, stock indices, bonds) and over very long time scales. We use for our studies both futures time…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2014-04-15 Y. Lempérière , C. Deremble , P. Seager , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

Based on 1-minute price changes recorded since year 2012, the fluctuation properties of the rapidly-emerging Bitcoin (BTC) market are assessed over chosen sub-periods, in terms of return distributions, volatility autocorrelation, Hurst…

We study Nash equilibria for inventory-averse high-frequency traders (HFTs), who trade to exploit information about future price changes. For discrete trading rounds, the HFTs' optimal trading strategies and their equilibrium price impact…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-06-06 Sebastian Herrmann , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Dapeng Shang , Chen Yang

We analyse tick-by-tick data representing major cryptocurrencies traded on some different cryptocurrency trading platforms. We focus on such quantities like the inter-transaction times, the number of transactions in time unit, the traded…

Credit card fraud is assuming growing proportions as a major threat to the financial position of American household, leading to unpredictable changes in household economic behavior. To solve this problem, in this paper, a new hybrid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 Zhuqi Wang , Qinghe Zhang , Zhuopei Cheng

This paper investigates whether security markets price the effect of social distancing on firms' operations. We document that firms that are more resilient to social distancing significantly outperformed those with lower resilience during…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-20 Marco Pagano , Christian Wagner , Josef Zechner

Many financial variables are found to exhibit multifractal nature, which is usually attributed to the influence of temporal correlations and fat-tailedness in the probability distribution (PDF). Based on the partition function approach of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-01-13 Wei-Xing Zhou

Statistical analysis of high-frequency stock market order transaction data is conducted to understand order transition dynamics. We employ a first-order time-homogeneous discrete-time Markov chain model to the sequence of orders of stocks…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-10 Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Anish Rai , Md. Nurujjaman , Om Prakash , Chittaranjan Hens

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu

Asymmetric relationship between price and volatility is a prominent feature of the financial market time series. This paper explores the price-volatility nexus in cryptocurrency markets and investigates the presence of asymmetric volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-09 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

This study investigates empirically whether the degree of stock market efficiency is related to the prediction power of future price change using the indices of twenty seven stock markets. Efficiency refers to weak-form efficient market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Trading pressure from one asset can move the price of another, a phenomenon referred to as cross impact. Using tick-by-tick data spanning 5 years for 500 assets listed in the United States, we identify the features that make cross-impact…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-03-27 Victor Le Coz , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Damien Challet , Michael Benzaquen

The VSTOXX index tracks the expected 30-day volatility of the EURO STOXX 50 equity index. Futures on the VSTOXX index can, therefore, be used to hedge against economic uncertainty. We investigate the effect of trader inventory on the price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-07-30 Daniel Guterding

Stylized facts can be regarded as constraints for any modeling attempt of price dynamics on a financial market, in that an empirically reasonable model has to reproduce these stylized facts at least qualitatively. The dynamics of market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-04-12 Stefan Reimann , Andreas Tupak