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An abrupt climatic transition could be triggered by a single extreme event, an $\alpha$-stable non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is regarded as a type of noise to generate such extreme events. In contrast with the classic Gaussian noise, a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-09-20 Yayun Zheng , Fang Yang , Jinqiao Duan , Xu Sun , Ling Fu , Jürgen Kurths

We investigate the bifurcation phenomena for stochastic systems with multiplicative Gaussian noise, by examining qualitative changes in mean phase portraits. Starting from the Fokker-Planck equation for the probability density function of…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-11-14 Hui Wang , Athanasios Tsiairis , Jinqiao Duan

Monitoring downside risk and upside risk to the key macroeconomic indicators is critical for effective policymaking aimed at maintaining economic stability. In this paper I propose a parametric framework for modelling and forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-21 Andrea Renzetti

In the present work, we establish the approximation of nonlinear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by cylindrical {\alpha}-stable L\'evy processes via modulation or amplitude equations. We study SPDEs with a cubic…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-06-30 Shenglan Yuan , Dirk Blömker

We are exploring two archetypal noise induced escape scenarios: escape from a finite interval and from the positive half-line under the action of the mixture of L\'evy and Gaussian white noises in the overdamped regime, for the random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Przemysław Pogorzelec , Bartłomiej Dybiec

In this paper we introduce a new class of state space models based on shot-noise simulation representations of non-Gaussian L\'evy-driven linear systems, represented as stochastic differential equations. In particular a conditionally…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Simon Godsill , Marina Riabiz , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Multiple types of fluctuations impact the collective dynamics of power grids and thus challenge their robust operation. Fluctuations result from processes as different as dynamically changing demands, energy trading, and an increasing share…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-07-24 Benjamin Schäfer , Christian Beck , Kazuyuki Aihara , Dirk Witthaut , Marc Timme

This paper considers the state transition of the stochastic Morris-Lecar neuronal model driven by symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. The considered system is bistable: a stable fixed point (resting state) and a stable limit cycle…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-06-19 Rui Cai , Yancai Liu , Jinqiao Duan , Almaz Tesfay Abebe

We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-11 M. Zaba , P. Garbaczewski , V. Stephanovich

In this paper we consider the global qualitative properties of a stochastically perturbed logistic model of population growth. In this model, the stochastic perturbations are assumed to be of the white noise type and are proportional to the…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-09-29 Andrei Korobeinikov , Leonid Shaikhet

Conditional independence and graphical models are crucial concepts for sparsity and statistical modeling in higher dimensions. For L\'evy processes, a widely applied class of stochastic processes, these notions have not been studied. By the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-13 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

We analyze confining mechanisms for L\'{e}vy flights. When they evolve in suitable external potentials their variance may exist and show signatures of a superdiffusive transport. Two classes of stochastic jump - type processes are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich

Two mathematical models of macroevolution are studied. These models have population dynamics at the species level, and mutations and extinction of species are also included. The population dynamics are updated by difference equations with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-04-16 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

L\'evy noise is a paradigmatic noise used to describe out-of-equilibrium systems. Typically, properties of L\'evy noise driven systems are very different from their Gaussian white noise driven counterparts. In particular, under action of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-07-17 Przemysław Pogorzelec , Bartłomiej Dybiec

Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan

In this article, we discuss a dynamical stochastic model that represents the time evolution of income distribution of a population, where the dynamics develop from an interplay of multiple economic exchanges in the presence of…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-02-28 Maria Letizia Bertotti , Amit K Chattopadhyay , Giovanni Modanese

We establish the large deviation principle for the slow variables in slow-fast dynamical system driven by both Brownian noises and L\'evy noises. The fast variables evolve at much faster time scale than the slow variables, but they are…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-11-22 Shenglan Yuan , René Schilling , Jinqiao Duan

The influence of an external random field on the competition process in a nonlinear open spatially extended system is analyzed numerically. A three-component model is chosen as the competition model in which a "weak" species can move in…

Stochastic processes are shown to emerge from the time evolution of complex quantum systems. Using parametric, banded random matrix ensembles to describe a quantum chaotic environment, we show that the dynamical evolution of a particle…

核理论 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dimitri Kusnezov , Aurel Bulgac , Giu Do Dang

We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump L\'evy processes, and we show how such representations lead…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-09 Marcos Tapia Costa , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill