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In this paper we propose a new approach to the central limit theorem (CLT), based on functions of bounded F\'echet variation for the continuously differentiable linear statistics of random matrix ensembles which relies on: a weaker form of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-12 Mario Diaz , James A. Mingo

We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-14 Feng-Yu Wang

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

In this paper, we rigorously derive Central Limit Theorems (CLT) for Bayesian two-layerneural networks in the infinite-width limit and trained by variational inference on a regression task. The different networks are trained via different…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-14 Arnaud Descours , Tom Huix , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Éric Moulines , Boris Nectoux

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for additive functionals of Markov chains is a well known result with a long history. In this paper we present applications to two finite-memory versions of the Elephant Random Walk, solving a problem from…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Jonah Green , Taylor Meredith , Hugo Panzo , Xiaoran Tan

We use Stein's method to bound the Wasserstein distance of order $2$ between a measure $\nu$ and the Gaussian measure using a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ such that $X_t$ is drawn from $\nu$ for any $t > 0$. If the stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Thomas Bonis

We undertake a precise study of the asymptotic and non-asymptotic properties of stochastic approximation procedures with Polyak-Ruppert averaging for solving a linear system $\bar{A} \theta = \bar{b}$. When the matrix $\bar{A}$ is Hurwitz,…

Let T be a rooted supercritical multi-type Galton-Watson (MGW) tree with types coming from a finite alphabet, conditioned to non-extinction. The lambda-biased random walk (X_t, t>=0) on T is the nearest-neighbor random walk which, when at a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-08 Amir Dembo , Nike Sun

It is well known that central order statistics exhibit a central limit behavior and converge to a Gaussian distribution as the sample size grows. This paper strengthens this known result by establishing an entropic version of the CLT that…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 Martina Cardone , Alex Dytso , Cynthia Rush

In this article we prove a new central limit theorem (CLT) for coupled particle filters (CPFs). CPFs are used for the sequential estimation of the difference of expectations w.r.t. filters which are in some sense close. Examples include the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

[B{\l}aszczyszyn, Yogeshwaran and Yukich (2019)] established central limit theorems for geometric statistics of point processes having fast decay dependence. As limit theorems are of limited use unless we understand their errors involved in…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-27 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia

In this paper, we study second order fluctuations for the size of the range of a critical branching random walk (BRW) in $\mathbb Z^d$. We consider the BRW with geometric offspring indexed by the Kesten tree, and show that the size of its…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-26 Tianyi Bai , Yueyun Hu

Let $\mu_N$ be the empirical measure associated to a $N$-sample of a given probability distribution $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of $\mu_N$ to $\mu$, when measured in the Wasserstein distance of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-10 Nicolas Fournier , Arnaud Guillin

In this paper, we derive a central limit theorem for collections of weakly correlated random variables indexed by discrete metric spaces, where the correlation decays in the distance of the indices. The correlation structure we study…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-11 Michael Fleermann , Werner Kirsch

The non-commutative Central Limit Theorem (CLT) introduced by Speicher in 1992 states that given almost any sequence of non-commutative random variables that commute or anti-commute pair-wise, the *-moments of the normalized partial sum…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-18 Natasha Blitvić

We extend the construction by Kuelske and Iacobelli of metastates in finite-state mean-field models in independent disorder to situations where the local disorder terms are are a sample of an external ergodic Markov chain in equilibrium. We…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 M. Formentin , C. Kuelske , A. Reichenbachs